Russia and Saudi Arabia signal intent to revisit production curbs; oil retreats from three-year high
The energy ministers from Russia and Saudi Arabia will discuss a potential relaxation of the global output cap agreed between OPEC and Moscow when they meet on June 22. That was enough today to end the rally in oil. West Texas Intermediate fell to $70.71, down...
Adding shares of Valero Energy to my Jubak Picks Portfolio
Last night on my JubakAM.com and JugglingWithKnives.com subscription sites I laid out the case argued by Morgan Stanley for believing that distillate prices are heading higher in the face of a tight supplies for these refinery products. One of the refiners Morgan...
No surprise: Oil moves higher on day after U.S. pulls out of Iran nuclear deal
Some days you need to search for an explanation for a market move. Other days the explanation hits you over the head. Today crude oil is up, in a strong but orderly move. Two catalysts. First, yesterday President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. would pull out of...
Ignore the short-term oil volatility and continue to hold Pioneer Natural Resources for the long-term story
So much near-term noise. Since Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) reported earnings on May 2–the company beat Wall Street estimates on earnings by 16 cents a share and reported revenue in-line with projections and up 56.5% year over year–there’s been...
Israel’s Prime Minister announces major statement Monday night on Iranian nuclear program
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced that he will make a statement at 8 p.m. Tel Aviv time tonight on a “significant development” regarding the Iranian nuclear pact. (As best as I can do the conversions, 8 p.m. in Tel Aviv is 1 p.m. in New York.)...
Statoil drops after 33% jump in profit falls short of Wall Street hopes
There’s no pleasing the market these days. Shares of Statoil (STO) fell 1.54% to $24.96 today after the company reported first quarter earnings of $4.4 billion, its highest quarterly profit in three years and 33% higher than in the first quarter of 2017. But the...
Oil continues to move higher on Middle East fears
Oil futures in New York settled at their highest since December 2014. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate climbed 0.35% to close at $68.88 a barrel. International benchmark Brent crude rose 0.88% to $74.71 a barrel. The gains were unusual in that the U.S. dollar...
Little spillover (yet) from Concho acquisition of Permian producer RSPP
Today Concho Resources (CXO) announced the acquisition of RSP Permian (RSPP) to create the biggest oil and natural gas producer from the shales of the Permian Basin. The $9.5 billion all stock deal represents a 29% premium to the Tuesday close for RSP Permian. That...
Oil up strongly this morning on inventory draw down
The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported this morning that U.S. crude oil inventories fell 2.62 million barrels for the week ended March 16. Last week inventories rose by 5 million barrels. As of 11:20 a.m. New York time U.S. benchmark West Texas...
How much can Pioneer Natural Resources increase production?
When West Texas Intermediate crude was struggling to stay above $50 a barrel, the important issues for a U.S. oil shale producer such as Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) were How much of production in 2018 was hedged above $50 a barrel? and How quickly the company...
Oil continues to rally on day after OPEC extends production cuts
After climbing yesterday by 1.7% on news that OPEC and allies including Russia would extended their agreement to cut production through the end of the year, oil rallied again today. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate closed up 1.64% to $58.34 a barrel....
The great energy sector puzzle: Oil is up but oil stocks are down?
Let’s take a look beyond today’s drop in oil on jitters about Thursday’s OPEC meeting and that group’s decision on extending (or not) its cuts in production. Today West Texas Intermediate, the U.S.crude benchmark, is down 1.37% as of 1 :30 to...
OPEC meets Friday and oil market moves into “guessing” phase
Want to play along as the oil market tries to guess what OPEC will do at its Friday meeting? West Texas Intermediate moved down, slightly, to $49.56 a barrel, a 0.7% retreat, as of 3 p.m. New York time. International benchmark Brent moved 0.52% lower to $55.19 a...
Pioneer earnings got the whole oil shale worry thing started
Back on August 1 Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) reported second quarter earnings of 21 cents a share, beating the Wall Street consensus by 10 cents a share. Revenue climbed 107% year over year to $1.63 billion, way ahead of the Wall Street consensus at $1.06 billion....
Trying to put a date and figure on the peak in U.S. oil production
How soon will U.S. oil production from wells in oil shale geologies peak? It’s the big question for U.S. oil producers and for a global oil market swimming in excess inventory. As long as U.S. oil production continues to increase all of OPEC’s production...
Oil rebounds as long positions evaporate, shorts climb
Hedge funds and other money managers have cut their long positions on crude futures to the lowest level since November, according to the U.S. Commodities Trading Commission, for the week ended on June 20. At the same time short positions, which are bets that oil...
Oil gets a breather today, so far, but what will turn around the bear?
A month ago when OPEC extended its production cuts to to the end of 2017, Saudi Arabia promised to do “whatever it takes” to stabilize oil prices. Now it’s not at all clear what the Saudi’s can do. The dual problem is rising production from...
Oil markets disappointed as OPEC does the expected
OPEC and allied non-OPEC producers have agreed to extend oil production cuts at current levels for nine more months through March 2018. Oil markets, which had been expecting exactly this result for days now, fell on disappointment that OPEC didn’t go further and...
Saudis reverse 1/3 of production cuts; oil market trembles
Saudi Arabia has told OPEC that it will not play sucker to countries that won’t meet OPEC’s targets for production cuts. Russia, Iraq, and the United Arab Emirates have not yet delivered the production cuts they agreed to. Saudi Arabia has said that it...
Selling ExxonMobil out of my long-term 50 Stocks portfolio; keeping it in my Dividend portfolio
ExxonMobil (XOM) is a hard company to characterize: it does some things so well that it has no peer and it does some things poorly enough to put the company in the middle of the oil company pack. On the very big plus side, nobody does the integration of refineries and...
My first picks for buying a piece of the Permian
I’ve been arguing recently–in posts on my paid JubakAM.com site like this one http://jubakam.com/2017/01/red-hot-permian-goes-to-white-hot-with-another-big-acquisition-and-freaks-out-global-oil-market/ and on this site with posts like “Permian power!...
Permian Power! Pioneer Natural crushes production guidance
Update: February 8, 2017. Shares of Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) closed up today, February 8, by 3.85% after this big player in the low-cost Permian Basin blew past earnings estimates and released aggressive guidance on future production growth. The company’s...
Pioneer Natural Resources updates production plans; I’d look to buy if OPEC/Non-OPEC meeting this weekend disappoints
Update December 6, 2016. Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), one the biggest oil shale producers in the low cost Permian Basin, filled in some details on its post-OPEC agreement on reducing production today at the Cowen & Co. Energy Conference. The company said it...
After the big oil rally: Winners from OPEC’s agreement to cut production
This post originally ran on my subscription site JubakAM.com on December 1. The entire energy sector was up Wednesday on OPEC’s agreement to cut production–but not every stock rose to the same degree. I think these themes defined the way that the market...
Oil continues to rally but oil stocks run out of fuel and tech stocks take down S&P
After yesterday’s surprise agreement to cut production from OPEC, oil prices have continued to climb–West Texas Intermediate was up 3.07% to $50.96 as of 3:15 p.m. New York time this afternoon–but oil stocks have stalled with such leaders from...
Surprise drop in crude inventories today continues oil rally
Crude was up again this morning continuing the rally that began with OPEC’s “announcement” of production cuts (details in Vienna on November 30, maybe) at its meeting last week in Algiers. West Texas Intermediate sagged into the close, however. West...
Seadrill gets a huge bounce on refinancing story
Update October 4. The New York traded ADRs of deep-water drilling specialist Seadrill (SDRL) are up huge this morning on reports that the company’s largest shareholder (at 23%), John Fredriksen, is willing to lend the rig company as much as $1.2 billion. The...
U.S.oil and gas rig count inches up again–it’s not enough to lift the drilling sector–yet
The total number of oil and natural gas rigs operating in the United States rose by 11 to 522 in the week ended September 30, according to Baker Hughes. That follows on last week’s increase of 5 rigs in operation. The bulk of the pick up came in oil rigs where...
What oil glut? Pioneer announces that it will add 5 rigs, increasing production by 13% to 17%
Update September 22. At the Johnson Rice energy conference yesterday, Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) announced that it plans to add 5 new horizontal drilling rigs to the 12 already at work on its leased acreage in the northern Spraberry/Wolfcamp area of the Permian...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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