December 28, 2016 @ 7:59 pm | Breaking News |
The Bank of Japan continues to go where no central bank has gone before. We’re talking “Let’s make it up” territory. The basic problem is that the Bank of Japan’s massive buying of government debt has failed to either raise the inflation...
February 17, 2011 @ 6:13 pm | Leading Indicators |
Japanese stocks soared overnight, February 17, to their highest level in nine months on forecasts of higher economic growth. Of course, the higher forecasts of economic growth were for the United States and the Japanese stocks that soared highest were those of...
January 31, 2011 @ 3:12 pm | Leading Indicators |
If you’ve let the crisis in Egypt take you mind off some of the globe’s other less splashy crises, let me direct your attention to Japan. On January 26 Standard & Poor’s cut its credit rating on Japan to AA-. It was the first cut to Japan’s credit rating by...
September 21, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Leading Indicators |
It’s starting to feel a little bit like June 1930. And that’s worrying. In that month President Herbert Hoover, despite deep misgivings, signed the Tariff Act of 1930, known as the Smoot-Hawley Tariff after its two authors, into law. By raising U.S. tariffs, the act...
September 3, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Leading Indicators |
On August 30, the Bank of Japan, the country’s central bank, announced a major new program of monetary stimulus. The governor of the bank even flew back from the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole conclave for the world’s central bankers. The Japanese government announced...
September 1, 2010 @ 12:15 pm | Leading Indicators |
Talk about a no-win situation: Japan’s central bank is damned if it doesn’t intervene to weaken the yen and quite possibly double-damned if it does. The Japanese yen climbed yesterday, August 31, to 83.92 to the U.S. dollar. That’s near the 15-year high for the...
August 31, 2010 @ 3:37 pm | Leading Indicators |
Oddly enough on a day, August 31, when investors are again feeling nervous about growth, machinery stocks are showing relative strength. Among the standouts Caterpillar (CAT), Joy Global (JOYG), Bucyrus (BUCY), and Deere (DE). This group has been through a day much...
July 30, 2010 @ 2:33 pm | Leading Indicators |
Last night’s bad economic news out of Japan means this one goes on our watch list. As a Japanese company, Toray Industries (TRYIY.PK), moves with Japan’s stock market. But much of its business and most of its growth are from outside Japan. (For more on the bad...
July 30, 2010 @ 9:19 am | Leading Indicators |
 All eyes will be on the market reaction to the U.S. GDP report this morning. I think you’d be better rewarded by watching Japan. I don’t think the U.S. GDP number for the quarter that ended way back on June 30 addresses any of the market’s real hopes or fears. The...
January 26, 2010 @ 12:00 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Expect the dollar to keep moving higher in the near term. Credit rating worries in Japan and disappointing economic numbers in the United Kingdom pretty much guarantee that the U.S. dollar will continue to gain on the yen and the pound. On January 25 Standard &...
January 7, 2010 @ 1:22 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Add Japan to the list of country’s counting on a weak currency to dig their economies out of a hole. On his first day in office new Japanese Finance Minister Naoto Kan lost no time in saying that he’d like a weaker yen. The Japanese currency is already down 9% from...
January 4, 2010 @ 10:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
It’s a desperate gamble but Japan’s Democratic Party government, headed by Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama, doesn’t have much choice. To break the hold of deflation on the Japanese economy, the country has to spend money—lots of money—it doesn’t have to stimulate an...
December 21, 2009 @ 11:51 am | Leading Indicators |
Deflation has returned with a vengeance in Japan. And we’re not talking about some short-term dip in prices either.  The Bank of Japan is forecasting that prices in Japan will fall by 1.5% this year, by 1% in 2010, and by 0.7% in 2011. So much for any recovery in the...
September 9, 2009 @ 11:58 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
You don’t need to be Sherlock Holmes to know where the money is going. It’s elementary. Investors are taking money out of the United States, which they see as lagging the global economic recovery, and putting it into Asia, which they see as leading the global...
August 13, 2009 @ 10:30 am | Breaking News |
I’m pretty sure that Shanghai’s plan won’t work. Weighed up against the forces pushing couples toward having kids later and then having fewer of them, the government’s incentives are just too small. In Japan cash talks. And loudly. The...