June 22, 2022 @ 7:57 pm | Breaking News |
Home builder Lennar (LEN) has started trimming prices and offering buyer incentives to bolster sales. The bad news here is that a slowing housing market is an early indicator of rising odds of a recession. The good news is that this is supposed to be what...
May 23, 2017 @ 7:21 pm | Breaking News |
New home sales in April were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 569,000. That was well below the consensus among economists surveyed by Briefing.com for annualized sales of 605,000. The April annualized rate was down 11.4% from March. The housing market...
December 28, 2016 @ 7:50 pm | Breaking News |
The data actually make sense when you consider the time lags and what these surveys measure. Contracts to purchase previously owned U.S. homes fell in November, unexpectedly, according to the National Association of Realtors in Washington. Pending home sales declined...
December 22, 2016 @ 7:20 pm | Breaking News |
Tomorrow, Friday december 23, we get news on new home sales in November. Coming after some market weakness this week and before the long Christmas holiday (financial markets are closed on Monday, December 26), this report has the power to set the tone for a few days....
February 22, 2011 @ 8:30 am | AAPL, IEF, Leading Indicators |
There’s early. And then there’s too early. Early is buying Apple (AAPL) on October 6, 2008 at $98.14 and having to wait until March 2009—six months–before the stock moves up. And up. And up. On March 6, 2009 Apple closed at $85.30. A year later on March 5, 2010...
January 24, 2011 @ 3:00 pm | Leading Indicators |
I missed reporting on this piece of economic good news last week. And it’s an important piece of data since it feeds into my belief that the U.S. economy is strengthening and that the U.S. market is the place to be in the first half of 2011. Existing home sales for...
June 16, 2010 @ 9:38 am | Leading Indicators |
 Hard to find a silver lining in this data. Housing starts in May fell to a 593,000 annual rate, according to numbers released this morning, June 16, by the Department of Commerce. That was a 10% drop from April’s annual rate of 659,000. The April rate itself was...
May 28, 2010 @ 3:14 pm | Sell |
I’ve already sold Rayonier (RYN) out of the Jubak Dividend Income Portfolio today, May 28. And now I’m selling it out of Jubak Picks as well. Nothing wrong with the stock—when the real estate market does finally turn, this timber and real estate REIT will do quite...
April 28, 2010 @ 2:00 pm | Leading Indicators |
This is exactly what I’m afraid of for the 12 months ahead. Yesterday’s numbers on home prices suggest that as the economic stimulus money gradually dries up over the next 12 months, the economic recovery will lose some steam. Not enough to send us back into recession...
February 3, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Leading Indicators |
Bounce or trend? That’s the question. The dollar took a break yesterday as it met some resistance after moving up so strongly in January. Commodities hit support that then rallied. At least that’s one way to look at it. From a purely technical point of view all we’ve...
September 24, 2009 @ 11:04 pm | Leading Indicators |
Bad numbers on existing home sales this morning. But is the reason behind the numbers even scarier than the numbers themselves? The numbers, mind you, were bad enough. Existing home sales fell 2.7% in August. The drop comes after four consecutive months of increasing...
September 24, 2009 @ 8:54 am | Breaking News |
I heard what I was hoping to hear in yesterday’s statement from the Federal Reserve’ s Open Market Committee: the U.S. central bank isn’t going to cut back its support for the U.S. mortgage market ahead of schedule or abruptly. And that will keep...
September 21, 2009 @ 2:48 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
The program that gives first time home buyers an $8,000 tax credit is due to expire at the end of November. The Federal Reserve will talk about winding down its buying of mortgage-backed securities in its two-day meeting this week. Will that be the end to the rally...
August 17, 2009 @ 2:30 pm | Update |
Certainly Mexican cement producer Cemex (CX) isn’t out of the woods yet, but the trees sure look a lot less menacing. The company wound up buried under cord upon cord of debt, thanks to an aggressive acquisition strategy that culminated in the 2007 purchase...
July 27, 2009 @ 5:51 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
It’s going to be one bloody battle. Bulls are bidding up the shares of home builders on reports that U.S. new home sales climbed 11% in June. That’s the biggest jump in eight years. Last week,before the news, short sellers had been loading up on these...