Gold and silver take another step toward excess
We’ve been here before. With gold and silver we’re at that stage in a huge rally where Wall Street analysts rush to increase their target prices in order to keep ahead of the market and where the number of posts urging investors to get in now–And...
Gold hits a record: Now what?
Spot gold hit an all-time high today to close at $1991.40 an ounce. In July gold rose 11%, the most since 2012. And now even investors and traders who never own gold are looking at the metal and say, “Should I buy? Will it rally some more?” In my opinion...
Stock Pick of the Day: Barrick Gold (GOLD)
I can think of two reasons to buy shares of Barrick Gold (GOLD) now. Either one alone would be enough to justify a “buy.” First, sentiment is shifting among investors toward the idea of buying gold as protraction against currency depreciation. The U.S....
Let’s hear it for stability–thank goodness, so far today is dull on the U.S. market
No big moves. No major disruptions. No threats of meltdowns. Today has been a welcome breather, a bit of stability, for market that’s had more than its share of excitement this week. So far. It’s only 1:30 p.m. in New York. And we could see selling or...
5 smart, short-term moves while we wait for longer-term trends to resolve
Yesterday in my post “What do you do when the market is insane and you’re not?” I argued that one of the dangers in a very volatile market with strong–and temporarily profitable–short-term trends is that we’ll give in to the...
Today’s attempt at a bounce doesn’t hold–S&P 500 closes down in New York
This morning it looked like U.S. stocks would bounce from the drop of Monday and Tuesday–about 6% on the Standard & Poor’s 500. As of 10:51 a.m. New York time the index was up 1.64% to 3182.08. But that has turned out to be the high of the day. By...
Market wakes up to coronavirus threat–it’s not just China anymore
What’s different this week? Why is the market plunging today on coronavirus fears when last week it shook off the news? Because the last few days have brought news that the coronavirus isn’t limited to China anymore. From Italy comes a report that the...
Raising target on Barrick Gold in Jubak Picks Portfolio and buying the shares for my Dividend Portfolio
Barrick Gold (GOLD) reported fourth quarter earnings of 17 cents a share on Wednesday, February 12. That beat the 14 cents a share estimate from Wall Street analysts for the quarter. A year ago the company earned 6 cents a share in the fourth quarter of 2018. But that...
Gold is climbing while VIX falls and stocks set new records? But why?
Gold is supposed to go up when investors and traders are looking for safe havens and hedges against market volatility. So it makes sense the gold and gold mining stocks are gaining as coronavirus stalks through the land. Gold closed up 0.99% today to $1570.50 an...
Gold in ETFs nears record; what’s next for the yellow metal?
Gold held by ETFs (exchange-traded funds) hit the highest level in seven years on Tuesday as investors and traders piled into the traditional hedge against uncertainty and stock market volatility. Worldwide gold holdings in ETFs rose to 2,561.2 tons as of Tuesday, the...
Today the market is in “Give back some of those gains” mode on a disappointing retail sales report
It would be an overstatement, in my opinion, to say the market is trendless. I think there’s a definite and but unspectacular bias to the upside in the short-term–four weeks, say. It would be accurate, however, to say, there’s not much conviction to...
Barrick Gold at the junction of positive macro and micro trends; raising my target price
It’s by no means a guarantee of gains, but owing shares of a company that is riding the wave of positive macro and micro trends does indeed usually result in solid profits. On the macro side, Barrick Gold has global trends pointing toward toward higher gold...
Markets try to have it both ways in the morning and then throw in the towel on risk
This morning you could hear the gears whirring as Wall Street strategists tried to position their portfolios so they were hedged against U.S-China trade war risk but also positioned to catch any bounce on good news on the trade front and ahead of the September 18...
Is it true and does it matter to the financial markets?
This morning President Donald Trump told reporters at the Group of Seven summit that over the weekend there had been significant progress in negotiations to end the U.S.-China trade war. “We’ve gotten two calls and very, very good calls,” Trump told reporters at the...Market goes to pessimism on trivial Pompeo comments–tells ya something, though
It didn’t take much to end the optimism of the past few days and turn the market at least mildly pessimistic today. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told CNBC this morning that Huawei Technologies isn’t the only Chinese company that poses security risks...
Step #1 (of 5) to get your portfolio ready for the Next Big One–Special Report update
Last night on my JubakAM.com subscription site I added Step #1 to my Special Report 5 Is Your Portfolio Ready for the Next Big? The post below is a cut and paste of the material I added to the Special Report. I’m posting it separately here to make it accessible...
Portfolio strategies for a changing market: What went up today when everything went down
For the last few weeks I’ve been working to shift gears in my online portfolios in anticipation of a tougher market after the Federal Reserve meeting (and a likely additional interest rate cut) on September 18. I’ve added Treasury ETFs–the Vanguard...
Adding silver to my market hedges: Buying First Majestic Silver for my Jubak Picks and Volatility Portfolios
Way back last Friday, July 19, in my Friday Trick or Trend post on my subscription JubakAM.com site, I argued for adding silver to a portfolio because 1) it is a good hedge for portfolios in the second half of 2019, and because 2) silver, after lagging gold for the...
Even as deal is struck to end shutdown, gold soars
Gold hit a seven month high on Friday, gaining more than 1%. Spot gold briefly broke above $1300 an ounce. Gold futures climbed 1.5% to $1,298.30 an ounce. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) climbed 1.46% to $122.86 on volume 10% above the daily average. The 52-week high...
Will today’s profit-taking turn into something worse?
I think today’s market downturn is nothing more or less than profit taking. It’s not surprising that investors and traders would sell Amazon (AMZN), for example, today (down 2.19%) since the shares were up 11.6% for the past 30 days as of September 4. The...
Randgold increases production, misses estimates on continued low price of gold
While I was on vacation I used the downtime to write posts on some of the earnings results that I missed during the very busy second quarter earnings season. This post was written on August 20 The relentless downward trend in the price of gold took a big bite out of...
Putting gold back into the 50 Stocks Portfolio with Randgold Resources
My criteria for adding a gold stock to my long-term 50 Stocks portfolio have been reasonably consistent over the years: I’ve looked for a gold miner that was growing gold production and reducing production costs. Up until my latest revision of this portfolio in...Goldman Sachs turns bullish on gold
Goldman Sachs has turned positive on gold for the first time in five years. “Our commodities team believes that the dislocation between the gold prices and U.S. rates is here to say,” Goldman Sachs says. Drivers for higher gold prices include signs of an...
Cracking the nutty asset correlations of this market
This morning provided a great example of how confusing and complicated correlations among asset classes are in the current market. Stocks rallied with the Standard & Poor’s 500 up 1.15% as of 11 a.m. New York time and the Dow Industrial Average ahead 1.7%....
How to manage risk in this market when the traditional risk safe havens aren’t working
If you spend a significant part of your day staring at your computer to watch the markets, you know that, perplexingly, the traditional safe havens for mitigating portfolio risk haven’t been working very well. For example, gold, which is supposed to go up when...
My third pick for my new ETF portfolio: A gold ETF
For my third pick for my new Perfect 5 ETF Active Passive Portfolio I looked to fill the Commodities slot in the portfolio with an ETF that would provide a hedge for the portfolio if the market tumbled but that would also produce a positive return if the market...
Odds of a December interest rate increase soaring
The financial markets are taking Janet Yellen seriously. In a speech yesterday the Fed chair strongly supported an interest rate increase at the Federal Reserve’s December 13 meeting. Coming along with comments from other Fed governors, the markets have decided...
More saber rattling in Korean standoff leads to modest increase in market nervousness
It’s not surprising that the major U.S. stock indexes are down today. So far today the North Korean foreign minister has said that President Donald Trump’s threats against his country amount to a declaration of war, and that North Korea has the right to...
Adding a gold ETF on today’s drop in the metal on hurricane, North Korea relief
I’m adding the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) to my Jubak Picks and Volatility portfolios today. Gold has sold off today with worries over a new missile test from North Korea in abeyance. And with traders relieved–and apparently surprised–to discover...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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