Think about gold and gold miners as two different asset classes right now
I think you want to own gold–through something like the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD)–right now to profit from decreasing interest rates at most of the world’s central banks, from global macro uncertainty, from the possibility of domestic violence in the...
The argument for adding more gold even now
Gold hit a new all-time high yesterday of $2554 an ounce on the Comex for December delivery. Gold’s 20% or so gain in 2024vto date (as of August 26) is a result of strong central-bank buying plus Asian purchases plus anticipation that the Federal Reserve was about to...
And now what in the Middle East? And for global financial markets?
After Israel and its allies (with the help of some Arab states that don’t want to see a wider Middle East war and who aren’t thrilled with the growing power of Iran and its proxies) succeeded in shooting down almost all of the drones (170), ballistic missiles (120),...
Gold hits record high–Don’t chase gold; buy gold stocks
Gold (for February 2024 delivery) was trading at $2087 an ounce on New York Comex today, December 1. That easily beats the old record high of $2051.50 an ounce back in August 2020. The shiny metal is up 12% from $1830 an ounce in early October. The SPDR Gold Shares...
The biggest good news from Barrick Gold’s earnings aren’t the earnings
Yesterday, Thursday, November 2, Barrick Gold (GOLD) reported earnings of 24 cents a share for the company’s this quarter. That was ahead of the 21 cents a share consensus estimate among Wall Street analysts. In the third quarter of quarter of 2022, the company...
Selling 2 gold positions out of my portfolios tomorrow
Gold was up 1.9% in trading on COMEX today to $1876 an ounce on war in Israel and Gaza and fears that it would become a wider conflict in the region. I’ve been looking for an exit from two of my gold positions for a while now. And tomorrow is a good exit point,...
Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Trend of the Week Gold with a Copper Kicker
Today I posted my two-hundred-and-seventy-sixth YouTube Video: Trend of the Week Gold with a Copper Kicker Want to grow your portfolio and protect it too? In the toughest investing market in 40 years? Grab my eBook, Your Best Investing Strategy for the Next 5 Years:...
Don’t forget tomorrow’s CPI inflation report
Tomorrow, May 10, brings the key CPI inflation report for April. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg are projecting that headline inflation will rise at a 5% year-over-year rate. That would match the 5% headline rate for the Consumer Price Index in March. The headline...
Gold pushes toward all-time high
Gold for June delivery closed at 2039.00 an ounce on the Comex today. That’s not too far away from the all-time record high of $2,070 an ounce. The move above $2,000 an ounce and any breach of the record at $2070 could trigger a rally as traders short gold buy...
Gold is back and I like the shiny metal as risk of a debt ceiling crisis increases–here’s how I’d play gold now
With the Federal Reserve seemingly winding down its cycle of interest rate increases, a stronger dollar is no longer the big currency market story. Gold is. Gold is back. And for at least the next 3 to 6 months. The likely political chaos in Washington over raising...
Please watch my new YouTube video: The Market is Badly Mispricing Risk
My one-hundred-and-seventy-first YouTube video: “Trend of the Week The Market is Badly Mispricing” went up today. Market prices say that investors and traders don’t think things are very risky, especially in the long run. Look at the yields on the 10...
So how big a deal is the Russian invasion of Ukraine to the financial markets?
Let me start off by making something very clear–the Russian de facto invasion of Ukraine is a very big deal for the people of Ukraine, the separatists regions, and the countries of Eastern Europe. I think we’re looking at the potential for thousands of...
Fed, jobs report clears the deck for an end of the year market melt up
The dominoes keep tumbling and I think we’re now set up for one of those extremely volatile market melt ups through early January. First, on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve removed a big worry hanging over the stock market when it announced that it would begin...
OPEC+ is in crisis again–but since no one knows quite what the result is likely to be, we’ve had big swings in sentiment and prices in the oil market (and in banks, other commodities, and the inflation/deflation play) today
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its affiliated oil producers (OPEC+) abandoned their Monday meeting after days of tense talks failed to result in an agreement on a tentative deal to increase production, and even over how to measure production....
Gold draws near even for the year, approaches resistance
Gold closed up yesterday, May 24, by 0.27% to $1884.00 an ounce for August delivery on the COMEX. That took the metal to its highest price since its January 5 high for 2021 at $1954. The rally in gold from a March 8 low at $1678 an ounce, has not only brought gold...
Wheaton Precious Metals hikes dividend by 30%
Before you get too excited by that headline, note that a 30% hike in the dividend at Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) will bring the payout to just 13 cents for the first quarter of 2021. But that’s still, as my grandmother used to say, better than a poke in the...
Watch my new YouTube video: 2 Hedges for All Your Market Worries
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The thirteenth YouTube video “2 Hedges for All Your Market Worries” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
The tide rises–Treasury yields climb again and so do inflation plays
As of the close in New York today, February 22, the yield on the 10-year Treasury had climbed another 3 basis points to 1.37%. Commodities that can act as inflation hedges were up as well. Copper showed no signs of ending its climb, rising 4.17% today to $8909 a ton...
Watch my new YouTube video: “Avoiding Di-Worsification in 2021”
I’m starting up my videos–this time using YouTube as a platform. The tenth YouTube video “Avoiding Di-Worisification in 2021” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
Market sees fourth quarter GDP slowdown as good news
U.S. GDP growth slowed in the fourth quarter, gaining just 1% from the third quarter. For the full year the U.S. economy contracted by 3.5%. That makes 2020 the first time that the economy has contracted for a full year since 2009 and the Great Recession. At the...
Gold is behaving like Biden stimulus is on its way
Gold futures on the COMEX for February delivery closed up 1.4% today, January 20, at $1866.50 an ounce. That’s the highest finished for the most active contract on the futures market since January 7. Silver for March delivery closed up 1.8% to $25.766 an ounce....
Dollar sinks to lowest level in 2 years; gold (finally) bounces
The Dollar Spot Index (DXY) fell by 0.7% today to the lowest level in more than two years on the biggest drop in almost four weeks. The Dollar Index is now down 5.28% for the year and down 12% from its March peak The euro surged 1.2% to $1.2075, the highest level...
Stocks continue to sell off as market sees coronavirus lockdown fears coming true
The Standard & Poor’s 500 closed down 1.21% today and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.59%. The NASDAQ Composite was lower by 2.45% and the NASDAQ 100 fell 2.54%. The Russell 2000 small cap index tumbled by 1.96%. The rising tide of new...
No bounce after yesterday’s selling
What I like to see–if I’m on the long side of stocks–after a drop like yesterday when the Standard & Poor’s fell 1.86% for its biggest loss in a month and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gave up 2.29%–is a bounce that speaks to...
Downward momentum in stocks looks stalled–trend depends on news flow and the dollar
Today, Monday, September 28, as of 1:15 p.m. New York time the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 1.60% to trade at 3352.78. Along with Friday’s 1.60% gain in the index, I think that shows the market’s downward momentum stalled for the moment. Only...
Stocks lose much of early enthusiasm but still finish in the green
Stocks moved up modestly this morning (modest considering the damage down in the last few days) with the Standard & Poor’s 500 up 0.99% at 1 p.m. New York time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ahead 0.94%, and the NASDAQ Composite gaining 1.16%. The move...
That’s not a good sign: Selling accelerated during the session today
At 1 p.m. New York time the Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.25%. At the close it was lower by 2.37% The pick up in selling was led by big tech stocks. Amazon (AMZN), for example was down 1.57% at 1 p.m. and 2.32% at the close. Microsoft was down 1.22% but...
Small move in S&P 500 disguises continued turmoil in big technology shares
Three stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 were up for every two that were down as the index turned in a day with very little movement–a gain of 0.05% at the close on September 11. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead a bit more at 0.48% That...
Market passes baton back to Fed’s Powell Put for today’s rally
On Monday the Standard & Poor’s 500 and the NASDAQ Composite hit new all-time highs on what I’m calling the Vaccine Put, the hope that we’ll see the announcement of an approved coronavirus vaccine by early in 2021 or maybe even the end of 2020...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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