January 9, 2020 @ 7:35 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
Today in its semi-annual report Global Economic Prospect, the World Bank warned, again, of the risk of a new global debt crisis as a result of the biggest buildup in borrowing in the past 50 years. Of the four waves of debt accumulation since the 1970s, the current...
March 4, 2010 @ 10:00 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
This week’s attempt by the FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.) to sell securities backed by residential mortgages and construction loans marks a huge milestone in the road back to normalcy for the financial markets this week. Let’s hope the markets pass the test....
February 8, 2010 @ 9:37 am | Leading Indicators |
Talk is cheap. And not terribly effective, even when it’s coming out of the mouths of Europe’s financial leaders, in ending a financial crisis like the one that continues to engulf Europe this morning (February 8). The current phase of the crisis started in Greece,...
January 8, 2010 @ 12:07 pm | Leading Indicators |
Hmmm, maybe, finally, a good idea on how to curb the worst excesses of Wall Street pay. Regulators at the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FIDC), the Financial Times reports, are talking about linking the amount that banks have to pay into the fund that provides...
December 7, 2009 @ 12:22 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Things are getting serious in the market for sovereign debt. You know, the paper issued by countries with big deficits that need to borrow to stay in business. Just before Thanksgiving Dubai World, a government-controlled conglomerate in Dubai, suspended debt...
December 3, 2009 @ 9:19 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Wonder how governments will close the huge budget gaps created by the Great Recession and the bailouts of the financial crisis? New York State’s recent budget move provides a pretty good road map. And you can sum it up concisely. Go after retirement programs. It’s...
November 20, 2009 @ 12:10 pm | Leading Indicators |
Another of the “emergency” measures enacted to stop of the financial crisis from plunging the economy into a depression looks like it’s on the road to becoming “permanent.” And this one could really blow up on us taxpayers—again—not so far down the road. I’m talking...
November 3, 2009 @ 10:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
You think the current wisdom that the banking sector is divided into the “have-nots” and the “haves” is an exaggeration? It’s very, very real—and it should be one of your guiding concepts if you’re thinking of buying any stock in the sector. There are banks that have...
October 29, 2009 @ 2:33 pm | Update |
When the reason you bought a stock no longer applies, you sell. Knowing what I know today, I will sell ING (ING) out of the long-term Jubak Picks 50 portfolio on the annual revision of that portfolio in December. (By the rules of this portfolio, I only buy and sell...
October 27, 2009 @ 12:50 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Bad times are coming, according to Nouriel Roubini, although they may be a year or two away. The New York University professor of economics is worth listening to since he called the U.S. housing bust and global financial crisis not only exactly right but in time to do...
October 8, 2009 @ 3:20 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
It’s going to be an interesting earnings season for bank stocks. The U.S. Federal Reserve has recently been out banging the pots about a new banking crisis, one in the $3.4 trillion market for commercial real-estate debt, that in size, at least, ranks up there with...
September 28, 2009 @ 6:36 pm | Leading Indicators |
The banking crisis is by no means over. But I think we can start putting together a list of winners. When we will want to buy stock in these banks is another question. What characterizes the four winners that I’m going to name in this post? Two things. First, they’ve...
September 28, 2009 @ 12:30 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
During the financial panic stage of the global financial crisis, banks wrote down some $1 trillion in securities. Much of this came as banks took losses on thin to trade or never traded securities. What President George W. Bush’s Treasury branded...
September 28, 2009 @ 10:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Hard as it is to believe, it looks likely: European banks are in deeper trouble than those in the U.S. and they’ve done less to clean up their balance sheets than their U.S. counterparts. At the end of this week, the finance ministers of the European Union...
September 24, 2009 @ 8:54 am | Breaking News |
I heard what I was hoping to hear in yesterday’s statement from the Federal Reserve’ s Open Market Committee: the U.S. central bank isn’t going to cut back its support for the U.S. mortgage market ahead of schedule or abruptly. And that will keep...
September 14, 2009 @ 8:45 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Here we go again. On Friday, September 11, regulators seized Corus Bank of Chicago. It’s the biggest bank failure to date with its roots in the commercial real estate and construction loan market. And it marks the start of the long-feared next stage of the...
August 26, 2009 @ 12:30 pm | Update |
ING Groep (ING) has moved a step closer to repaying the $14.3 billion loan it took out from the Dutch government in October 2008 during the height of the financial crisis. The company has asked for final bids for its private banking business with the price believed to...
August 18, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
I remember watching in fascinated horror in October 1987 as the stock market crashed. On Monday October 19 the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 22.6%. $500 billion evaporated. As a young (well, relatively) business editor I got pressed into service calling up...
August 11, 2009 @ 2:35 pm | Breaking News |
All the plans that I’ve seen to “reform” the financial markets flounder on one problem: They all assume that if you give regulators more power, they will regulate. The record says that’s simply not true. And if it’s not, giving the...
July 21, 2009 @ 2:59 pm | Breaking News |
The Obama administration has delivered its proposal for fixing the credit rating companies that so contributed to the near meltdown of the global financial system. Is it enough to get the job done? Not in my view. The 18-page draft for legislation sent to Congress on...
July 20, 2009 @ 2:50 pm | Breaking News |
Thank you, CalPERS. So far, the big three ratings companies, Standard &Poor’s, Moody’s (MCO), and Fitch have got off scot free despite their key role in the crisis that almost took down the world financial system. (You know the crisis that sent Lehman Bros. into...