February 1, 2010 @ 1:56 pm | Buy |
I sold Market Vectors Brazil Small-Cap ETF (BRF) out of Jubak’s Picks about 9% ago back on December 9, 2009, and now I think it’s time to re-buy. Well, actually I think Friday was a time to re-buy—before a recommendation from Goldman Sachs to buy the Brazilian real...
February 1, 2010 @ 9:45 am | Leading Indicators |
For China’s stock markets, right now all news is bad news. Take new data from a survey of purchasing managers for January released by HSBC and Markit Economics released on Monday, February 1. The index, roughly equivalent to the survey of purchasing managers conducted...
January 29, 2010 @ 11:00 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
Consumer demand in the United States isn’t coming back. Not anytime soon. Not for a decade or more. Not to anything like the levels of 2006 or 2007 before the global economic crisis hit full force. I know that’s not the conventional wisdom–or...
January 28, 2010 @ 9:44 am | Leading Indicators |
Stocks in China closed up today, January 28, in Shanghai and Hong Kong, breaking a six day losing streak. Shares of other emerging markets were ahead at noon in London. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index was up 1.3%. Six straight declines have taken the index down 9.7%...
January 27, 2010 @ 4:28 pm | Update |
Business isn’t good at LAN Airlines (LFL) but it is getting better. On January 26, 2010 the Chilean airline, which accounts for nearly 75% of Chile’s domestic air passenger traffic, reported fourth quarter net income of $109.8 million. That was an increase of 17.6%...
January 27, 2010 @ 9:42 am | Leading Indicators |
The correction in the world’s emerging stock markets continues. At noon in London today, January 27, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index was down 0.5%. That brings the index’s six day retreat, the longest slide in a year, to 7.8%. There’s just enough news of tighter...
January 22, 2010 @ 12:30 pm | Update |
Ctrip.com, China’s biggest online travel company, has changed the ratio of its American depositary shares (ADS) to give holders a two-for-one ADS split. Holders of the ADS received one additional ADS for each ADS they owned on January 19 at the end business on January...
January 21, 2010 @ 9:54 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
Investors have turned bullish on the United States and are less bullish—if not actually bearish so far– on China, according to a Bloomberg survey of subscribers. Investors who have been waiting for a buying opportunity in China and other emerging markets may be...
January 15, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
I think investors are worried about the wrong kind of crisis in China. Worry seems to focus on the possibility of an asset bubble and the change that it will burst sometime in the next two to three months. I’m more concerned about a slide into a crisis that will be an...
January 12, 2010 @ 4:35 pm | Buy |
I think this one fits the recommendations for how to invest in emerging markets now that I laid out in my post https://jubakpicks.com/2010/01/07/how-to-buy-into-emerging-market-stocks-now/ AmBev, or to give the company its full name Companhia de Bebidas Das Americas...
January 12, 2010 @ 10:09 am | COF, Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
As far as I know, there’s no financial-markets law saying that if some countries get a credit-rating downgrade, then others must get a credit-rating upgrade to keep the system in balance. But right now it seems to be working that way. The past year has brought...
January 7, 2010 @ 4:28 pm | Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
Here’s the dilemma. Long-term emerging market stocks are going to beat stocks from the world’s developed economies like a drum. Everything right now points in that direction. Growth rates: For example, the United States looks likely to grow by 2% to 3% annually over...
January 6, 2010 @ 10:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Holy Karl Marx, Batman. China is set to introduce futures contracts on its stock market indexes. Perhaps in March right after the Communist Party’s annual congress, Bloomberg reports. China’s Financial Futures Exchange has been running mock trading in the contracts...
January 6, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Mark Mobius, the most experienced emerging markets investor I know of, is urging caution on emerging markets. The huge run up in asset prices on stock markets from Shanghai to Warsaw is bringing companies to market to sell stock in record amounts. And that makes...
November 30, 2009 @ 9:18 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
U.S. investors should feel very familiar with the financial crisis that broke out in Dubai last week. The names are different but the story is striking similar to the U.S. mortgage crisis. And if you’re trying to figure out the dangers and the opportunities in this...
November 24, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
A lost decade. 1999 to 2009 sure qualifies for many investors in stocks. A lost decade to come? I can’t tell you what stocks or stock markets will perform best over the next ten years. But I can tell you that many U.S. investors are still sitting in portfolios that...
October 23, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
By 2015 one-third of companies in the Financial Times Global 500, a list that’s roughly the global equivalent of the U.S. Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index, will come from the world’s emerging markets, according to Bain & Co. Makes sense to me. Economic growth...
August 6, 2009 @ 1:13 pm | Breaking News |
Credit Suisse, the Swiss investment banking and asset management giant, told clients on August 6 that emerging stock markets had hit a top after rallying 72% in five months. The note said that six indicators had turned negative on these markets: the 200-day moving...