May 4, 2020 @ 6:55 pm | Breaking News |
Okay, the Treasury actually will need to borrow only $2.99 trillion, but close enough, no? It will still be a record. The previous record for borrowing in a single quarter was $530 billion in the July to September 2008 quarter in the fallout from the global financial...
January 31, 2011 @ 3:12 pm | Leading Indicators |
If you’ve let the crisis in Egypt take you mind off some of the globe’s other less splashy crises, let me direct your attention to Japan. On January 26 Standard & Poor’s cut its credit rating on Japan to AA-. It was the first cut to Japan’s credit rating by...
March 15, 2010 @ 12:44 pm | Breaking News |
The good news, according to Moody’s, is that the U.S. government will spend about 7% of its total revenue in 2010 servicing the huge U.S. debt. That will rise to 11% of total revenue in 2013. That’s the good news? Well, sure. Moody’s, one of the three major debt...
January 8, 2010 @ 2:12 pm | Leading Indicators |
So exactly when does a lot of debt for a country such as the United States, Japan, the United Kingdom, Greece or Italy become too much debt? The threshold is when government debt rises above 90% of national GDP, economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff argue in a...
January 4, 2010 @ 10:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
It’s a desperate gamble but Japan’s Democratic Party government, headed by Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama, doesn’t have much choice. To break the hold of deflation on the Japanese economy, the country has to spend money—lots of money—it doesn’t have to stimulate an...
December 10, 2009 @ 1:58 pm | Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
Put these two headlines together from Bloomberg today and you’ve got a good snapshot of the U.S. economic “recovery” to date. “U.S. Foreclosures to Reach 3.9 Million in Second Record Year.” “Household Net Worth in U.S. Increases by $2.67 Trillion.” Let’s look at the...
November 23, 2009 @ 1:22 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Everyone is warning about bubbles. These warnings have all been unconvincing to me because they imagine that the next bubble will look like the last one. Until today. Gillian Tett in the November 23 Financial Times has come up with the first description of a bubble...
September 9, 2009 @ 5:08 pm | Leading Indicators |
U.S. consumers cut back on borrowing by a record $21.6 billion in July. According to the Federal Reserve, consumer credit fell at an annual rate of 10% in the month. That’s about five times faster than the contraction that economists were expecting. That’s great news...
August 7, 2009 @ 4:58 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
On Friday before the U.S. financial markets opened the Labor Department reported that only a net 247,000 workers lost their jobs in June. That was a big decrease from the drop of 443,000 in June. And way better than the 325,000 decline that economists had been...