May 18, 2022 @ 4:06 pm | Breaking News |
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-sixth YouTube video “Looking for a wider credit crunch” went up today. I think last week’s video worrying about a credit crunch in the consumer economy was a bit too optimistic. I’m now seeing signs in the market of...
May 12, 2022 @ 7:13 pm | Breaking News |
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-third YouTube video “My fear is a credit crunch” went up today. My fear is a credit crunch. I’m not as concerned with the Fed raising rates, or a recession–those are sort of run of the usual events. But a credit...
April 12, 2021 @ 6:50 pm | Breaking News |
This isn’t good news for the prospects for a sustained economic recovery in the United States from the pandemic recession of 2020. The 25 biggest U.S. banks reduced their total loan portfolios by 8% in 2021 through March from the same point in 2020, according to...
December 2, 2020 @ 7:18 pm | Breaking News |
Okay, so I know the financial markets aren’t worried–today–about the real economy. But the real economy will count someday and need to be figured into stock prices for things like banks (and who knows what else.). And right now we’re getting...
August 28, 2020 @ 7:42 pm | Breaking News |
Capital One Financial (COF), the third-largest U.S. credit card lender, is cutting borrowing limits on it credit cards. The company has said it’s no big deal, telling Bloomberg that “Capital One periodically reviews accounts based on a variety of factors and may...
May 12, 2020 @ 10:40 pm | Breaking News |
On March 23, the Federal Reserve announced that it would create a facility to buy corporate bunds and ETFs tracking the corporate bond market. That facility remained an all-talk/no-action vehicle until today when the New York Federal Reserve Bank announced that its...
May 5, 2020 @ 7:10 pm | Breaking News |
Credit card issuers have already cut the credit limits or closed credit card accounts entirely for about 1 in 4 credit card holders–almost 50 million Americans–in the past 30 days, according to a survey byLending Tree’s Compare Cards website. The...
May 4, 2020 @ 6:55 pm | Breaking News |
Okay, the Treasury actually will need to borrow only $2.99 trillion, but close enough, no? It will still be a record. The previous record for borrowing in a single quarter was $530 billion in the July to September 2008 quarter in the fallout from the global financial...
May 1, 2020 @ 7:37 pm | Breaking News |
As economic indicators go, this isn’t one that I follow in normal times. In normal times banks are happy to accept an application for a home equity loan from anyone who owns a house. Real estate is a good credit risk. In normal times. But if you’re still...
March 23, 2020 @ 6:49 pm | Breaking News |
Today, March 23, the Federal Reserve announced that it would backstop all credit markets in the United States without limits. The Fed said it would purchase Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities “in the amounts needed to support smooth market functioning.” In...
March 17, 2020 @ 7:30 pm | Breaking News |
The Federal Reserve is launching a special fund to keep credit flowing in the short-term commercial paper market that many companies use to raise cash for day-to-day operations. (Commercial paper generally matures in fewer than 270 days.) Starting today the Fed will...
March 9, 2020 @ 8:00 pm | Breaking News, Buy Hold Sell |
Money managers are saying that it’s increasingly difficult to trade due to a lack of liquidity caused by huge swings in asset prices. “I have yet to find liquidity,” Richard Hodges, a money manager at Nomura Asset Management, told Bloomberg. “There is none.”...
March 6, 2020 @ 7:48 pm | Breaking News |
By now I assume you know that today was another brutal day for U.S. stocks (although markets moved up significantly in the last hour.) The Standard & Poor’s 500 closed down another 1.71% and the Dow Jones Industrials dropped 0.98%. The NASDAQ Composite was...
November 9, 2018 @ 6:35 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
I’ve written more than once about my conviction–and consequent worry–that we’re headed for a global credit crunch sometime in the next three to four years. I’m looking for the kind of Minsky Moment that sees financial markets go into...
July 18, 2018 @ 6:59 pm | Breaking News |
Thanks, folks. For weeks now I’ve been writing (especially in a series of special reports on my subscription site JubakAM.com) about an impending credit crunch that would produce a reset (a polite term for a big whoosh down the toilet) in global asset prices....