Persistent drip, drip, drip of smaller negative stories out of China today
No big bad news story from China this morning, but the news trend continues to emphasize the downside. For example, this morning a U.S. official said the U.S. is unlikely to extend a waiver allowing American firms to supply China’s Huawei Technologies with technology...
China’s economy continues to weaken
The manufacturing sector–thanks to the U.S.-China trade war–continues to slow China’s economy. But the real problem may be an underperformance in the services sector that makes it impossible for that sector to pick up the slack. The end result is that the...
China’s economy continues to slow in second quarter
Of course, we can’t trust China’s official GDP statistics. Government economists cook the books so that China’s growth stays within the goals set by the country’s leaders every year. But investors should pay attention to the trend. And this...Negative economic numbers from both China and United States this morning
I’d give the edge to China in the “Whose news is worse?” sweepstakes this morning. For April China’s retail sales rose 7.2% year over year–good news except that economists were projecting an 8.6% increase and that March showed 8.7% year...
Just a reminder of how much of a speculative casino China can be
Overnight the Shanghai stock market, as measured by the Shanghai Composite Index, fell 4.4%. (Which took down other Asian markets. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was down 2.33%.) That’s a substantial drop, no? Causes? First, a huge drop in China’s...
I said I’d sell CTRP on first sign that upward momentum had broken–well, I’m selling today
Yesterday I posted that I would sell Ctrip International.com out of my Jubak Picks portfolio at the first sign that the stock’s upward momentum had broken. Well, the New York traded ADS for Ctrip closed down 5.42% today. I think that counts as a break and...
China tweaks growth target lower to 6%-6.5% from last year’s 6.6%
Against the setting of the National People’s Congress, which opened today, China’s leaders announced that the growth target for the economy in 2019 would be 6%-6.5%, down slightly from the 2018 target of 6.6%. That dip is significant since the Chinese...
Today’s economic numbers from U.S. (good) and China (bad)
The first (advanced) estimate of U.S. GDP for the fourth quarter showed the U.S. economy growing at a 2.6% annual rate. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast 2.3% growth. For all of 2018 the economy grew at a real rate (that is after inflation) of 2.9% in...
China trade talks outcome uncertain–but market reaction even more difficult to read
Today, a day when the U.S. financial markets seem to be in a mood to worry about China, is a good time to look at the likeliest outcomes of the U.S.-China trade talks and the likely market reaction to those outcomes. The clock is ticking on the Trump...
Apple cuts revenue forecast, drops 7.6% in after-hours trading
Will Apple’s (AAPL) warning spook stocks tomorrow, Thursday, January 3, to a degree that bad economic news out of China didn’t today? After the close in New York Apple CEO Tim Cook dramatically lowered the company’s estimates for sales in the...
On eve of Trump-Xi talks China’s economy continues to slump, overnight data say
China’s purchasing managers index (PMI) for the manufacturing sector continued to slump in November, overnight data showed. The index dropped to 50, the level that marks the divide between expansion (above 50) and contraction (below 50.) The new export orders...
China slows a “wee bit”–but that’s too much for an already nervous market
Growth in China’s economy has slipped to the lowest rate since 2016. Which isn’t huge negative news except that Chinese financial markets are already nervous enough to have pushed Chinese stocks into a bear market. In the second quarter of 2018 annual...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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