June 1, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Leading Indicators |
Maybe it isn’t precisely a Ponzi scheme but China’s banking policy sure comes close. And it sure isn’t monetary policy. China has made headlines by raising the reserve requirements for its banks repeatedly this year to a current high of 17%. The move has raised fears...
May 25, 2010 @ 2:27 pm | Leading Indicators |
Will Shanghai? Won’t Shanghai? Introduce a real estate tax that is. The Shanghai stock market rallied yesterday, May 24, on speculation—and that’s all any of this is—that the city government would put off any real estate tax for three years. Any tax on property...
May 18, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
On May 11 China’s stock market slipped into official bear market territory so quietly you’d think it was no big deal. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.9% putting it down 21% from its November 23 high. What’s next? Predictions fall into two diametrically opposed...
May 3, 2010 @ 11:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Another order from the People’s Bank of China for China’s banks to increase reserves has set off a wave of speculation about how many more reserve increases are in the cards, when the central bank might raise its benchmark interest rates, and when China might decide...
April 20, 2010 @ 1:14 pm | Leading Indicators |
The regulators keep turning the screws on the Chinese real estate market. After data showing that prices climbed at a record annual 11.7% rate in March, officials in Beijing know they have to do something. But they’re reluctant to take the big step of raising interest...
April 14, 2010 @ 12:06 pm | Leading Indicators |
Sneak preview on China’s first quarter GDP and March inflation from Reuters today, April 14. China’s economy grew about 11.9% in the first quarter from a year earlier, unofficial numbers available in Beijing say according to Reuters. That would be above even the...
April 6, 2010 @ 4:03 pm | Leading Indicators |
It looks like the fix is in. The governments in Beijing and Washington look like they’re figured out a formula that will lead, sooner rather than later, to an end to the renminbi/dollar peg and the appreciation of China’s currency versus the dollar. Sooner, I’d say,...
April 1, 2010 @ 12:03 pm | Breaking News |
I’m filing this post from the beach. I’m on vacation the week of March 29 to April 2. Unless the sun stops shining here in the Bahamas (or the kids decide to hire themselves out on a fishing boat), I don’t anticipate filing more than once a day for this week....