Today it looks more like a bear market rally
In my weekend Saturday Night Quarterback on my subscription JubakAM.com site I said that this week would, probably, answer the question of whether Friday’s big bounce was just a bounce, the start of a buy on the dip rally, or even a bear market rally with a bit...
My picks for infrastructure stocks after Congress finally acts
There was a mad scramble today as Wall Street tried to identify the winners from the $1.2 trillion ($550 billion in new money) infrastructure bill passed by the House of Representatives (finally) late on Friday night. President Joe Biden will sign the bill, which...
Will a 5% drop bring out the buy on the dippers? Not, I’d argue, until the People’s Bank makes a move
The Standard & Poor’s 500 fell another 1.70% today and it’s now down 3.94% from the September 2 high. As the index dropped last week (again) and over the weekend, lots of Wall Street money managers said Hey, stocks were over-valued and news from...
Senate passes infrastructure bill heavy on traditional road, rail, and water spending–so guess which stocks went up today?
The $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill that the Senate passed today–roughly half of that represents new spending–still faces a tough go in the House of Representatives where progressive Democrats have criticized the measure as light on dollars to fight...
Today’s trading doesn’t answer big questions posed by Amazon and Caterpillar earnings last week
I’m looking for answers to two big questions that earnings from Amazon (AMZN) and Caterpillar (CAT) left us with last week. In the case of Amazon, where the company reported a slide in revenue growth after a big bump in sales due to everybody ordering everything...
Buying Martin Marietta Materials in my Jubak Picks Portfolio to add to infrastructure plays
On Monday, June 28, I’ll be adding shares of Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio to increase my exposure to the infrastructure sector after the Thursday, June 24, announcement at the White House of a bipartisan infrastructure deal. You...
News that White House and Senator group have struck a deal on infrastructure sends the usual suspects higher today
The White House has announced that it has struck an infrastructure deal with a bipartisan group of 10 Senators. There are almost no details on the deal and it’s not at all clear that President Biden will be able to convince the progressive wing of his own party...
Today the market looks a lot like “before the Fed Wednesday”
Remember way back at the beginning of last week? That is before the Federal Reserve signaled on Wednesday that more of the members of its Open Market Committee were thinking about raising interest rates sooner than previously expected. Re-opening stocks, value stocks,...
Rotation turns to general selling
At 11:07 a.m. today the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 0.80%. At the close it was down 0.55%. Same picture for the small cap Russell 2000 index. Up 1.65% at 10:54 a.m. New York time. Down 2.26% at the close. What looked like one of the rotation markets...
Watch my new YouTube Video: 5 Picks for the next 6 months
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The twelfth YouTube video “5 Picks for the Next Six Months” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
A wild day for stock gains–although you wouldn’t know it from the indexes
At the close today the Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.19%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended dead even. The NASDAQ Composite “soared” 0.07%. It wasn’t until you looked at the Russell 2000 small cap index that you saw any signs of...
Stocks try another rotation again today–I’m not sure this one will stick with employment claims and August jobs report still due this week
At the close today, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up another 1.54%. Putting this question at the top of many investors’ and traders’ minds: Is there any way to participate in this blow out rally without real adding an unacceptable amount of...
Caterpillar earnings miss big, drag on industrials and Dow
Caterpillar (CAT) reported second quarter earnings this morning of $2.83 a share, well below the $3.11 a share expected by Wall Street analysts. And then, to make the future as grim as the present, Caterpillar rearmed its earnings guidance for the fiscal 2019 year of...
Tariffs up, talks end, Chinese retaliation next
Whatever the ultimate end point of the trade talks between the United State and China, the next step is almost certainly the announcement of retaliatory measures by China in the wake of the Trump administration’s decision to raise tariffs on $200 billion of...
Nothing but bad news–and S&P 500 still sinks only 0.55%
Red, red, red everywhere today. Caterpillar (CAT) and 3M (((MMM) disappointed on guidance. China and Europe sold off. As did the financial sector with the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) falling 0.77% to $25.90 to break or at least test support. And, then, as...
Caterpillar says “Never mind” about “high water mark” comment that spooked stocks so badly on April 24
On April 24 Caterpillar (CAT) reported first quarter earnings before the New York markets opened that easily beat analyst projections. And the company raised its guidance for fiscal 2018 to earnings per share of $10.25-$11.25 from a previous $8.25-$9.25. The stock...Caterpillar says this is high water mark for the year–and everybody sells everything
Caterpillar (CAT) crystalized the market’s fears in its conference call this morning. After delivering really great results before the market opened–Caterpillar beat Wall Street earnings estimates by 72 cents a share on earnings of $2.82 a share and then...
Selling Caterpillar on the President’s tariff announcement
I don’t think there’s any point to waiting around to see how quickly or fiercely China will retaliate against U.S. exporters after today’s announcement that the United States will put a 25% tariff on Chinese (and other imported) steel and a 10%...
Caterpillar beats on earnings and guidance but stock falls 1.4% today
Investors and traders were determined to sell Caterpillar (CAT) shares after the stock gained 70% in 2017. That determination overshadowed yesterday’s good news on fourth quarter earnings and positive guidance for 2018. The shares, which I added to my Jubak...
Adding Caterpillar to my Jubak Picks and Volatility Portfolios ahead of earnings tomorrow
Caterpillar (CAT) looks to be a major beneficiary of the lower tax rates in the Tax Cuts & Jobs Act and for a lower U.S. dollar. (See today’s encouragement of a weaker dollar from Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin at Davos today.) Not that Caterpillar sales...
Caterpillar and 3M beat on third quarter earnings, but lower fourth quarter guidance
This isn’t the pattern I want to see–although it is the one I’m worried about. Caterpillar (CAT) beat Wall Street earnings estimates for the third quarter by 9 cents; 3M (MMM), for its part, beat by a penny. But both companies also lowered guidance...Buy Joy Global (JOYG)
I’m buying shares of mining equipment company Joy Global (JOYG) today on the strength of the good news from heavy equipment peer Caterpillar (CAT) in its second quarter earnngs report of July 21. Caterpillar significantly raised guidance for 2009, casting a...Earnings tomorrow from CAT, Copper, and Coke enough to keep the rally going?
Quite a set of economic indicators in tomorrow’s earnings reports. And all before the stock market rings the opening bell at 9:30 ET too. Caterpillar (CAT), an important indicator of prospects in the construction and industrial sectors, is expected to report earnings...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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