JPMorgan Chase surprises on earnings–but not in the way that markets had hoped
This morning JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported a “surprise” jump in earnings in the third quarter. The problems in that “surprise” were in the nature of the surprise. A good part of the “surprise” wasn’t a surprise. The bank...
Earnings season starts tomorrow morning with JPMorgan Chase and Citibank
The big banks kick off third quarter earnings reports tomorrow, Tuesday, October 13 with JPMorgan Chase (JPM) due to report before the open. The analyst consensus is that the bank will earn $1.93 a share, down from the $2.68 a share earnings in the September quarter...
At the most serious end, the mortgage delinquency problem is getting worse
The overall number of borrowers delinquent on their mortgages fell by 340,000 in July. That’s down by 9% from June. (These are figures from Black Knight, which collects delinquency numbers monthly. The Mortgage Bankers Association, on the other hand, releases...
Initial claims for unemployment climb this week: economists had forecast a continued drop in new filings
New claims for unemployment at regular state-run programs rose by 135,000 in the week ended August 15 to 1.1 million. Initial claims for unemployment were 970,000 in the prior week. Economists had expected that initial claims would drop to 920,000 this week. Wall...
Banks start off earnings season by pouring cold water on V-shaped recovery
“I don’t think anybody should leave any bank earnings call this quarter simply feeling like the worst is absolutely behind us and it’s a rosy path ahead,” Citigroup (C) CEO Michael Corbat said this morning as he announced the bank’s second quarter earnings. “We...
Fed’s stress test for 34 big U.S. banks says no share buybacks, no increases in dividends
After the close for the New York markets, the Federal Reserve announced the results of its newest round of stress tests on 34 big U.S. banks. For the first time, the Fed added scenarios for a V-shaped recession and recovery; a slower, U-shaped recession and recovery;...
Big banks face Fed stress test this week
What’s a week without a good chance that the Federal Reserve will roil the stock market? On Thursday June 25, the Federal Reserve will release results of its annual bank stress tests on June 25. At stake will be bank plans for dividend payouts. Banks that...
Mortgage delinquencies soar in April
The number of borrowers who stopped paying their home loans jumped by 1.6 million last month, according to data from Black Knight, a real estate analytics company. The national mortgage delinquency rate rose to 6.45% in April, up from 3.06% in March. That’s...
Credit crunch hits credit cards hard
Credit card issuers have already cut the credit limits or closed credit card accounts entirely for about 1 in 4 credit card holders–almost 50 million Americans–in the past 30 days, according to a survey byLending Tree’s Compare Cards website. The...
It’s May–time for a mortgage and rental crisis
By the end of April 3.8 million homeowners had sought mortgage relief and were not making their payments. That’s a 2,400% increase from early March, Black Knight, a mortgage technology and data provider, told the Washington Post. The problem may be even worse...
Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase stop accepting applications for home equity loans
As economic indicators go, this isn’t one that I follow in normal times. In normal times banks are happy to accept an application for a home equity loan from anyone who owns a house. Real estate is a good credit risk. In normal times. But if you’re still...
Markets have a case of the earnings season “nerves” today
As of 1 p.m. New York time the Standard & Poor’s 500 is down 1.88% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is off 2.14%. The NASDSQ Composite is lower by 0.79% and the Russell 2000 small cap index has tumbled 2.80%. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)...
Selling Itau Unibanco out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio
When I sold Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CMWAY) a few moments ago I wrote “I’ve only got a small bit of exposure to the global banking system and, frankly, I think it’s past time to get rid of even that exposure. We’re in one of those...
Selling Commonwealth Bank of Australia out of Dividend Portfolio
I’ve only got a small bit of exposure to the global banking system and, frankly, I think it’s past time to get rid of even that exposure. We’re in one of those banking sector moments where we know that banks are loaded up with assets that can’t...
Bet you’ve forgotten: Earnings season starts next week with the big banks
What with everything going 0n, I wouldn’t be surprised if the start of earnings season next week has slipped your mind. Reports of fourth quarter earnings are actually fairly important this year because stocks trade near all time highs and estimates say that...
At least someone wants to buy TD Ameritrade–can we say the same for Citibank?
Interesting column by Matt Levine on Bloomberg Opinion today. In the piece “Schwab Broke Ameritrade to Buy It” he points out that the acquisition bid from Charles Schawb (SCHW) today to buy TD Ameritrade (AMTD) for a reported $26 billion comes after...
Odd day: stocks rise on bank earnings oil falls on global growth fears
Good earnings news from big U.S. banks drove U.S. stocks higher today. As of 3 p.m. New York time, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 1.10% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead 1.03%. The NASDAQ Composite had climbed .28% and the Russell 2000 small...
Looking for an above average yield? Australia’s Westpac Banking looks very attractive after today’s financial sector selling but I’d wait on a likely dividend cut this fall
Today’s weakness in the financial sector on the news that online brokerage Charles Schwab (SCHW) will be cutting commissions on equity and ETF trades to 0% sent the financial sector down to a loss of 2.07% on the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF). That...
Selling Independent Bank (IBCP) out of my Dividend Portfolio
When I posted earlier today that I would keep Bank of America (BAC) in my Dividend Portfolio I said the decision rested largely on the ways that Bank of America wasn’t like the “average” bank. Chief among these “ways” was the bank’s...
2019 shaping up as a tough year for bank stocks–here’s why I’m holding Bank of America in my Dividend Portfolio
2018 was supposed to be a good year for bank stocks. Rising interest rates from the Federal Reserve would provide a positive environment for banks, bank revenues, and bank earnings.2019 is likely to provide a negative backdrop for banks. The Fed is holding interest...
ING yields 5.8% and may have turned the corner on share price in the last month
I’m sure you’re happy with the 5.80% forward dividend yield on ING (ING). That dividend is why the stock is a member of my Dividend Portfolio. I’m also sure that you’re not happy with the loss in the stock’s price–down 13.64% year...
Market goes all in on “No interest rate increase for 2019”
The market has priced in just about a zero percent change of an interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve in 2019. In fact, looking out through all of 2019 and into 2020, the financial markets believe there’s more chance of an interest rate cut than of a...
Why I can’t put away my bear market worries #2: Financials to tech earnings transition
The big banks have delivered to start off earnings season. And the financial sector has been a key source of strength for the uptrend in stocks since January 3. Over the last month, the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) is up 5.4% as of the close on January 17....
Citigroup begins fourth quarter earnings season with a revenue miss
This morning Citigroup (C) kicked off earnings season for the big banks and stocks in general with a report that first, argued that the banking sector hasn’t fixed its big problem–no toppling revenue growth–and, second, that those traders and...Estimates for bank earnings continue to move lower ahead of next week’s earnings reports
Bank stocks aren’t doing badly today ahead of the start of earnings reports from the biggest banks starting on Monday. But to me it looks like today’s slightly upward bias is a bet not on good earnings but that analysts have gone too far with their cuts to...
Selling Citigroup out of my Dividend Portfolio
I’ve done a decent job in 2018 of staying away from the plunging financial sector–except in my Dividend Portfolio. There, sucked (or “suckered” if you prefer) by high dividend yields and the prospects of rising net interest margins as the Federal Reserve raised...
U.S. stocks roar back this afternoon–what’s that all about?
U.S. stocks after being deep in the red this morning, came roaring back this afternoon. Or at least technology shares did. The Standard and Poor’s 500, which had been as low as 2583 today, climbed back to close at 2637. The swing from high of the day to low was...
Markets worry about everything this morning–especially bank and energy stocks
I dare you to find something global financial markets aren’t worried about. And, moreover, many of the worries are re-enforcing each other today. So, for example, we’ve got U.S. Trade Representative Robert E. Lighthizer, saying on Sunday TV the the 90 day...
Market reaction to big bank earnings not good way to start earnings season
Earnings from Citibank (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Wells Fargo (WFC looked solid this morning but the more the market thought about them the more disappointed it got. The Financial Sector Select SPDR ETF (XLF) was up 1.6% in the early going but as of 2:30 p.m. New...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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