Rally or bear trap: Concentration in megacap tech stocks reaches a record high
I’m trying to decide if we’re watching a legitimate rally or a classic bear trap. If this rally is real, and likely to run for a while, investors should be putting cash to work even at market highs. If it’s a bear trap–you know one of those...
Amazon and Intel both soar on earnings but don’t take the wider market up with them–that’s not a good sign
You can tell a lot about market sentiment by watching how it reacts to good news from individual stocks. Yesterday, both Amazon (AMZN), a current market leader, and Intel (INTC), a former market leaders and still an important technology sector stock, both reported...
Tech earnings take spotlight this week–but we also get consumer and oil company reports
Hope you like earnings news. This week brings a ton of third-quarter earnings reports with news from Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Alphabet quite capable of moving the entire market. We’ll also get more consumer company (Coca-Cola and Kimberly-Clark for...
I’ll be selling Nvidia out of my Volatility Portfolio (on my JAM subscription site) tomorrow
I’m going to take advantage of today’s pop in Nvidia (NVDA) to sell the shares out of my very short-term Volatility Portfolio tomorrow on my subscription JAM.com site, Tuesday, October 2. The shares closed up at the close today at $447.82, a gain of 2.95%...
Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Capital Cycles and Recession
Today I posted my two-hundred-and-third YouTube video. Today’s topic: Capital Cycles and Recession – they are not the same thing. When we talk about a recession, we’re largely talking about a consumer demand recession. Separately, there is a...
Is the today’s jobs number a lagging indicator of labor market strength? Tech layoffs in the last few weeks say, Yes
On Thursday, November 3, Lyft (LYFT) said it would trim 13% of its staff, or around 683 people. Amazon announced a “pause” on corporate hiring after halting hiring in its retail division last month. And Apple (AAPL) has suspended hiring for jobs outside of...
A very busy week ahead–Ukraine and commodities, tech stock earnings, and, of course, the Fed on interest rates
What a week ahead. I’d expect speculation about what the Federal Reserve will say on Wednesday to dominate a very lengthy slate of market news. No real suspense about whether or not the Fed will raise rates at its July 27 meeting. The central bank has made it...
Please watch my new YouTube video: “Market gives Fed a raspberry”
My one-hundredth-and-thirtieth YouTube video “Market gives Fed a razzberry” went up today. Yesterday, the Fed announced that it would raise rates by 50 basis points but that it was not looking to raise by 75 at the June or July meetings. In response, the...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Lessons from Amazon
My one-hundredth-and-twenty-seventh YouTube video “Lessons from Amazon” went up today. Today I’m covering Amazon’s (AMZN) earnings report after hours on April 28. The company delivered its first quarterly loss in 7 years. The shares closed down...
This week is last stand for growth stock earnings hopes
Going into this earnings season, the hope was that strong, surprisingly strong perhaps, earnings from the big growth stocks would put a stop to the selling. Earnings would be strong enough to convince investors that the market wasn’t over-valued since at these...
Lessons from Netflix for all consumer stocks
Today, as we watch Netflix (NFLX) edge toward a drop of 35% at the close on yesterday’s huge earnings disappointment, the name of the game is “Find the new Netflix.” Other streaming service companies? Sure. An obvious choice. Shares of Disney (DIS)...
Selling Amazon tomorrow–worrying signs in core e-commerce business
Investors have been really impressed by Amazon’s fourth quarter earnings report. And there were some impressive numbers in the report for the quarter. Amazon’s cloud services unit, AWS, saw revenue growth accelerate again to a 40% growth rate. Revenue...
Watch my new YouTube video: Look Out for Earnings Season
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My seventy-eighth YouTube video “Look Out for Earnings Season” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. Here’s the...
Federal Reserve’s Powell stops calling inflation “transitory” and stocks tank–except for Apple
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell retired the word “transitory” to describe stubbornly high inflation in testimony today in front of the Senate Banking Committee. And, Powell continued, the Fed might accelerate the pace at which it is winding down its purchase of...
Watch my YouTube video: The rally narrows–or does it?
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My seventieth YouTube video “The rally narrows–or does it?” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. Here’s the...
More Evergrande woes in China but biggest selling is in U.S. tech stocks
The Hong Kong Stock Exchange suspended trading in shares of China Evergrande after the Chinese developer missed a key bond interest payment last week. That’s led to selling across Chinese stocks with, as of the close in New York, shares of Alibaba (BABA),...
Watch my new YouTube video: “Amazon’s miss is a big deal…for all stocks”
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My forty-fourth YouTube video “Amazon miss is a big deal…for all stocks” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can...
A trend? Retail sales fall in July but lots of one-off events
Retail sales dropped 1.1% in July, the Commerce Department reported today, August 17. Sales of furniture, sporting goods, building materials, cars and auto parts were all down strongly in the month. Sales at non-store retailers, which include e-commerce sales, dropped...
Today’s trading doesn’t answer big questions posed by Amazon and Caterpillar earnings last week
I’m looking for answers to two big questions that earnings from Amazon (AMZN) and Caterpillar (CAT) left us with last week. In the case of Amazon, where the company reported a slide in revenue growth after a big bump in sales due to everybody ordering everything...
Market looks to be setting up for next week’s tech earnings parade
The Standard & Poor’s 500 closed up 0.20% today, July 22. The Dow Jones Industrial Average squeezed out a 0.07% gain. But if you were looking for bigger upside moves, turn your eyes to the technology sector. The NASDAQ Composite was up 0.36% and the NASDAQ...
Stocks extend growth fears, selling today–how far does this go?
Today, Monday, July 19, stocks accelerated their retreat from the end of last week on fears that a fourth wave of the pandemic, fueled by the Delta variant, will crush hopes that the economy is headed back to normal. As of the close New York the Standard &...
Friday’s move in tech signals that’s where you want to be for a second quarter earnings blowout
Friday’s market action argues that investors and traders are looking to buy shares of Apple, Amazon, Microsoft–you know the usual suspects–ahead of what looks like a blowout earnings season that will start on July 13 when JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reports...
Today the market looks a lot like “before the Fed Wednesday”
Remember way back at the beginning of last week? That is before the Federal Reserve signaled on Wednesday that more of the members of its Open Market Committee were thinking about raising interest rates sooner than previously expected. Re-opening stocks, value stocks,...
Today brings the selling that many expected after Wednesday’s Fed meeting
Yesterday, growth stocks climbed in the face of signals from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday that interest rates increase were coming sooner–as soon as the end of 2022–than expected. That seemed puzzling. May be, one line of thought (mine) had it,...
The Standard & Poor’s 500 is basically flat with a loss of just 0.04% as of the close today. If you want ACTION!!! you have to look elsewhere: To the NASDAQ Composite, which was up 0.87% at the close and to the small cap Russell 2000, which was down 1.18%...
Watch my new YouTube video “Don’t panic: 3 Picks for This Rotation”
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The twenty-second YouTube video “Don’t Panic: 3 Picks for this rotation” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my...
It’s not that Wall Street loved the potential Biden tax hikes today after hating them yesterday–it’s just that the market remembered there’s profit to be made today while the tax increases are a long way off–if ever
Yesterday, a quite promising early stock market rally got derailed on news stories–based on anonymous sources–that the Biden administration would propose tax increases on wealthy Americans and corporations. The speculation points to an increase in the top...
Watch my new YouTube video “6 picks for next week’s earnings flood”
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The twentieth YouTube video “6 picks for next week’s earnings flood” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video....
Watch my new YouTube Video “Best Pick for the Big Tech War”
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The eighteenth YouTube video “Best Pick for the Big Tech War” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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