My one-hundred-and-forty-second YouTube video “The Treasury Yield Tide Is Rising” went up today.
Yields are up for 2-, 5-, and 10-year Treasuries. I’m also seeing higher expectations for more rate increases in the coming Fed meetings with the odds rising for a 75 basis point increase in July and/or September. I think these extreme bets on a 75 basis point increase have more to do with attitudes toward inflation than actual believe in 75-basis-point rate increases in July and August –that is that it will be tougher to bring it under control than the Federal Reserve now thinks. But these extreme positions are something to watch going forward. To one way of thinking they represent the chance for a rally in stocks if traders retreat from the 75-basis-point camp.
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Here’s the link:
