Workers struck Honda’s transmission factory in Foshan, China, ten days ago.
The most amazing thing about the strike, which forced Honda to suspend production at its four joint-venture assembly plants in China, is that we know about it at all.
Most strikes in China don’t get much space in the country’s government-controlled press. They’re typically hushed up and resolved in a day or two under pressure from the government on workers and employers. That practice is designed to prevent news of a strike for higher wages and better working conditions at one factory from fueling nationwide demands by workers.
In the case of the Honda strike, however, the government allowed relatively extensive coverage in state-controlled newspapers and on the Internet for the first few days of the strike. As the strike dragged on, Beijing gradually clamped down on reporting on the strike. But the amount of initial coverage and the extended duration of the strike without official action are signs of a change of direction in China’s economic policy.
What’s the change?
Some part of China’s leadership is clearly serious about rebalancing the Chinese economy to increase the emphasis on domestic consumer purchasing and to decrease the reliance on exports and infrastructure for economic growth. China’s economy is almost a mirror-image of the U.S. economy where 70% of the economy is based on consumer spending. In China consumers account for something like 30% to 40% of GDP.
A rebalancing of the Chinese economy that increased demand from Chinese consumers for the goods of other countries would be good news for the global economy. The global economy remains too dependent on buying by debt-strapped U.S. consumers for its long-term health.
One way to increase domestic demand would be to let wages rise. And Beijing seems to be committed to allowing wages to rise in its export industries. For blue-collar manufacturing workers in the export zone around Hong Kong wages have doubled in the last five years.
Honda’s most recent offer to workers at its transmission plant is for a 24% pay increase to 1,910 yuan ($280) a month. Trainees at the factory now make $132 a month and more experienced workers $220 a month. (As of May 31 the company said most workers had accepted this offer.)
Don’t look for wage increases like this to destroy the low-cost labor base that makes China’s export machine work. While there are no good nationwide statistics on productivity in China, the data suggests that productivity growth is keeping up with wage increases.
What we’re seeing instead is a government decision to let more of those productivity gains flow through to workers in the form of higher pay rather than to corporate bottom lines.
China still has a long way to go to match the thinking of Henry Ford who rocked U.S. capitalism in 1914 by paying his workers $5 a day. (That’s equal to about $110 a day in 2008 dollars.) Ford explained his decision by saying that he wanted his workers to be able to afford the cars they built. The Ford Model T, introduced in 1908, initially sold for $825. Its price dropped every year as Ford’s company refined its assembly lines.
The five-door Honda Fit sells for $15,000.
CynD,
Do you think Henry Ford started his business out fo some altruistic motive? No way.
Even paying his workers more was not driven by generosity. He paid them more so they could afford to buy what they built. Ford understood that there is no better advertising than his own workers. Also, by being able to buy what they built, it gave the workers an added incentive to do their jobs well. In other words, he got better quality and free advertising for the cost of paying his workers better wages.
Ford was visionary, but he was no altruist.
yx,
Excellent point! However, Henry Ford obviously did not let greed rule his brain.
Corp America needs to go back to Henry Ford. They can not expect American to buy their goods, if they ship jobs to overseas.
Thanks for the article Jim
This might also have something to do with depression amongst chinese workers, such as all those suicides at the apple factory city and the attacks against school children
so that’s $13.75/hr…assuming they only worked 8hr days…not sure..but thought they worked 10hr days??
Jim,
These articles are when I think you are at your best. You look into what is creating problems in the economic world (in this case China). Going from Macro to investment ideas is what you do better than anyone I know. Great article!