Selling ConocoPhillips on increased Russian oil refinery production
My baseline assumption is that Russia will cheat on its promises to cut oil production whenever and wherever it can. The country is crushed between the need for more oil revenue to finance the war in Ukraine and falling oil prices. The one way out of that dilemma is...
Rumors swirl around Pioneer Natural Resources again–this time that ExxonMobil is talking about an acquisition
The Wall Street Journal reported Friday, April 7, that Exxon Mobil (XOM) has held talks with Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) about a possible acquisition. The Journal reported that Exxon also has discussed a potential acquisition with at least one other company as the...
Oil rallies, finally
Oil rallied today, Monday, March 27, for the first time in, well, quite a while. Oil is likely to finish with a loss in March, for a fifth monthly drop. So today’s move, which saw West Texas Intermediate jump by almost 55, marked quite a shift in direction. You...
Investors really don’t want Pioneer Natural Resources to acquire another producer
On Friday, shares of Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) fell on a Bloomberg story reporting rumored talks between the Permian Basin oil shale producer and Appalachian natural gas producer Range Resources (RRC). On Monday shares of Pioneer rebounded as the company denied...
Adding Pioneer Natural Resources to my Dividend Portfolio on 11% annual yield
Wednesday, February 22, Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) reported better-than-expected adjusted earnings for the fourth quarter of 2022 while revenues came up short of Wall Street estimates. Revenue was still up 18% year-over-year to $5.1 billion. Fourth quarter net...
Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Trend of the Week U.S . Oil Production not Rising as Expected
Today I posted my two-hundred-and-fifth YouTube video. This week’s Trend of the Week: U.S. Oil Production is Not Rising as Expected. Oil prices have averaged $100 per barrel over 2022–a figure that would normally lead oil companies to expand production and...
What to do about your oil stocks?
I’ve seen several comments on the site asking this question. I assume we’re talking about oil stocks in the short- and medium-term. In the long term, I think it’s clear that you should be thinking about selling these out of your portfolio at a profit...
EU agrees to partial ban–66%–of Russian oil imports
The European Union has finally found a way to agree on a partial ban on oil imports from Russia. The group has agreed to an immediate ban on imports arriving by sea. That covers about two-thirds of Russian imports. To get Hungary’s vote for the partial ban, the...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Trend of the week Give ‘Em the Cash
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-second YouTube video “Trend of the Week Give “Em the Cash” went up today. So far, so good this earnings season: oil and natural gas producers are holding the line on capital spending on new production, as they promised,...
Natural gas prices soar–no summer slump in prices this year thanks to war in Ukraine
Normally at this time of year natural gas prices retreat and companies actually stash natural gas in storage for use during hurricane outages in the fall and winter heating season. Not this year, however. Today natural gas prices in the U.S. hit a new 18-year high. At...
Another round of higher oil prices headed our way
Today, April 21, reports from a number of different sources are pointing to lower oil production–which will mean higher oil prices. Even from current levels. And oil prices are significantly higher in the past three weeks. At 3:00 p.m. New York time today U.S....
U.S. to ban Russian oil and natural gas–Brent hits $131 a barrel, WTI $127
The United States will ban imports of oil and natural gas from Russia, President Biden announced Tuesday. I’ve tried to pin down the exact timing and implementation of the ban (I don’t see these details in the executive order as released by the White...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick Pioneer Natural Resources
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and sixth YouTube video “Quick Pick Pioneer Natural Resources” went up today. This week my Quick Pick is Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD). I don’t like...
For investors hedging the Ukraine/Russia conflict, here’s my best estimate of what’s next
If you believe as I do that one of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s goals in igniting the current conflict in Ukraine was to attempt to use Europe’s dependency on Russia natural gas to drive a wedge among NATO members, the most recent developments make a...
Oil moves toward $95 a barrel on rising Ukraine war fears
International benchmark Brent crude jumped as much as 4.7% to $95 a barrel for the first time since 2014. Brent was up 23.68% and trading at $94.77 at 3 p.m. New York time Friday. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate, which normally trades below Brent in price, was...
Oil breaks above $90 for first time since 2014
On Thursday, Feburary 3, U.S. crude benchmark West Texas Intermediate rose above $90 a barrel–it closed at $90.87, up 0.60% for the day, for the first time since 2014. International benchmark Brent crude gained 0.42% to close at $91.53 a barrel. Of course, it...
Putting on hedges for a Russia-Ukraine conflict today (as in NOW)
I only recommend options on my subscription sites JubakAm.Com and JugglingWithknives.com. And this week on those sites I’ve closed the two VIX CALL Options I bought back on December 31 as protection (and potential profits) from an increase in market volatility...
OPEC production curbs collapse in Russia-Saudi fight
It’s over. The three-year marriage of convenience between Saudi Arabia and Russia is done. The Saudi’s argued that Russia and OPEC producers must cut production further in response to falling demand for oil in the face of the coronavirus outbreak. Russia...
Oil rallies on U.S. inventory drawdown, record U.S. exports, slip in U.S. production–and, oh yes, those pesky tensions with Iran
U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude is now up 10% for the week following on a 2.44% jump in price to $59.24 a barrel today. International benchmark Brent crude gained 1.94% to $66.31 a barrel. Continued tensions between the United States and Iran, of course,...
Two more oil tankers attacked in Gulf of Oman; here’s how financial assets moved and which might be interesting ahead
For the second time in a month two oil tankers came under attack in international waters near the strategic Strait of Hormuz. One ship, a Japanese-owned tanker carrying methanol, was apparently attacked by limpet bombs attached to its hull or by a mine. The second...
Pioneer Natural Resources gains on earnings beat, production increase, and asset sales
A complicated but very positive quarter for Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD.) The stock, a member of my long-term 50 Best Stocks Portfolio, climbed 3.92% today to $153.77. First, after the close on May 6, the company announced earnings of  $1.83 a share, 20 cents a...
Renewed bid from Occidental for Anadarko adds heat to Permian M&A
The battle for control of Anadarko Petroleum (APC) and its huge position in the oil shale geologies of the Permian Basis isn’t over. Yesterday, Wednesday,  Occidential Petroleum (OXY) made a renewed bid to acquire Anadarko. The 50%/50% stock and cash offer from...
Permian goes from tepid to red hot again on Chevron bid for Anadarko
Chevron (CVX) has agreed to buy Anadarko Petroleum (APC) for $33 billion in cash and stock. On the news shares of Anadarko are up 32.5% to $61.85. Shares of Chevron are off 4.91% to $119.81.Meaured by oil and natural gas production, the deal puts Chevron neck-and-neck...
Pioneer authorizes huge increase in buyback program in note of confidence on cash flow
We all know that companies can authorize stock buybacks and never carry them out, but, nonetheless the big new buyback program authorized by Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) is a significant sign that of the company’s confidence in its cash flow. (As well as an...
Oil gains on Trump-Xi “success, Russia-Saudi “deal,” and actual production cuts from Alberta
As of 2:30 p.m. New York time U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate was up 3.04% to $52.48 a barrel. International benchmark Brent crude gained 2.84% to break back above $60 a barrel at $61.15. Part of the reason for the gain is a general sigh of relief that the...
50 Best Stocks Portfolio pick Pioneer Natural Resources gives back a bit of its post earnings pop
On Monday, after the close of the New York market, Permian Basin oil shale power Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) reported third quarter earnings of $2.07 a share, 39 cents a share above the Wall Street consensus projection. Revenue climbed 112.2% year over year to...
Oil sells off as Hurricane Michael goes from “rumor” to “fact”
Today’s drop in oil prices looks to me to be a classic buy on the rumor sell on the fact trade. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate dropped 2.81% today to $72.85. International benchmark Brent crude fell 2.68% to $82.72 a barrel. Yesterday oil moved up as...
Oil moves higher today on Hurricane Michael, IEA supply warning
U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 0.7% today to close at $74.81 a barrel. International benchmark Brent crude rose 1.23% to $84.94 a barrel. The International Energy Agency warned of what it termed a “risky situation; the oil markets are...
Oil surges on no action at OPEC meeting
Today oil prices breached levels that have oil traders talking about $100 a barrel oil again on OPEC’s decision at its weekend meeting not to boost oil production. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate climbed 2.15% as of noon today, September 24, to move...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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