January 20, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, QCOM |
Technology stocks look placed to lead the market on both technicals and earnings. After Friday’s sell off, the sector resumed an uptrend on Tuesday January 19 that stretches back to the late November lows. Strong results from Intel (INTC) on Thursday and IBM (IBM)...
January 19, 2010 @ 2:30 pm | BABA, Leading Indicators |
Troubles at Baidu (BIDU)? Traders jumped into shares of Baidu last week on the theory that Google’s (GOOG) troubles in China—and the likely shutdown of the company’s Chinese search engine—would be good news for the biggest domestic search company. Today they seem to...
January 12, 2010 @ 10:09 am | COF, Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
As far as I know, there’s no financial-markets law saying that if some countries get a credit-rating downgrade, then others must get a credit-rating upgrade to keep the system in balance. But right now it seems to be working that way. The past year has brought...
January 6, 2010 @ 12:56 pm | AAPL, Leading Indicators, QCOM |
There are two fronts in the increasingly bitter war being fought between Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG). And while the contest between the iPhone and Google’s Nexus One (and other Android phones) is getting most of the ink, it’s the apps battle that comes with the...
January 5, 2010 @ 2:59 pm | CNI |
With Warren Buffett’s purchase of Burlington Northern (BNI), there’s one less trans-continental railroad in North America. And nobody is going to build another one anytime soon. Actually make that ever. Canadian National Railway (CNI) generates the highest operating...
January 5, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, PXD, You May Have Missed |
Buy and hold isn’t dead, but its DNA sure could use a bit of genetic engineering. Buy and hold was never intended as buy and forget, but a great bull market run like the one that stretched from 1982 to 2000 made it seem like all an investor had to do was buy and then...
January 5, 2010 @ 8:30 am | Buy, SPWR |
Demand will pick up—eventually—for solar energy companies as the global economy crawls toward recovery and as countries add more incentives for clean power. That doesn’t mean that everyone is going to make money, though, since prices are dropping like a stone and many...
December 18, 2009 @ 2:22 pm | AMZN, Leading Indicators |
Nothing like a market where volume is drying up as it usually does at the end of the year—which makes it easier for traders to move stocks on news and rumors. Especially when the world is so busy supplying lots of potentially market-moving headlines. It’s a potent...
December 14, 2009 @ 1:53 pm | Breaking News, CHK, Leading Indicators |
ExxonMobil (XOM) will buy XTO Energy (XTO) for $31 billion in stock. (ExxonMobil will also assume $10 billion in XTO Energy debt.) This acquisition is just the latest example of a shift among the international energy majors from exploration and development for oil in...
December 1, 2009 @ 4:40 pm | AAPL, Leading Indicators, QCOM |
When AT&T’s (T) exclusive deal expires in 2010, Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone is most likely to find a second home with T-Mobile and not Verizon (VRZN). That’s the conclusion of a note published by analyst Doug Reid of Thomas Weisel Partners and picked...
November 25, 2009 @ 12:30 pm | COF, Leading Indicators |
Unemployment. Consumer spending. New home sales. End of the year profit-taking. End of the year portfolio window dressing. All those drive the stock market day to day. But none pack the wallop that the rising and falling (mostly falling recently) price of the U.S....
November 20, 2009 @ 2:10 pm | Buy, COH |
Listening to the management team at Coach (COH) talk about the company’s business is an odd experience. This “fashion” company spends a lot of time talking about “engineering” its products and building production and distribution “infrastructure.” (Want to hear a...
November 13, 2009 @ 8:30 am | AAPL, Breaking News, Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
I know Apple (AAPL) is an investor darling trading near an all-time high. And I know the company’s products have tremendous consumer cache. So much so that the company is able to sell its iPhones and iMacs for prices well above those charged by competitors. But it...
November 10, 2009 @ 11:30 am | OKS, Sell |
Sell Oneok Partners (OKS) Master limited partnership units of Oneok Partners (OKS) have run through my target price of $54 a share by March 2010 and just kept on going. I still like this natural gas pipeline play for its yield of 7.5% (as of November 9, 2009) so I’m...
November 3, 2009 @ 12:30 pm | Breaking News, CHK, Leading Indicators |
Doesn’t anybody know that there’s a natural gas glut in the United States? In a glut low prices are supposed to force producers to shut wells and reduce production so that demand has a chance to catch up with supply and prices can start to rise. It just doesn’t seem...
October 20, 2009 @ 8:30 am | AMZN, Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Elisabeth Kubler-Ross laid out the five stages of grief in her 1969 book On Death and Dying. There’s denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and finally acceptance. The financial markets when confronting a strong trend work through their own five stages. Not of grief....
October 13, 2009 @ 9:45 am | Breaking News, CHK, Leading Indicators |
We know what the health care reform legislation due today for a vote in the Senate Finance Committee will cost: $829 billion over ten years. We know that it will extend coverage to 94% of all Americans, up from 83% now. And, thanks to the blessings of the...
October 12, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, QCOM |
It’s early yet in earnings season, but I were a gambling man, I’d give the technology sector odds on leading the stock market again this quarter. Wall Street is beating the bushes for earnings growth right now. If earnings don’t go up in the next...
October 9, 2009 @ 6:13 pm | AMZN, Leading Indicators, Stuff Jim Recommends |
Happy Europeans discover the New World even though none of the people who lived there then knew that they needed finding Day. I don’t mean to disparage Columbus. As a history such as Hugh Thomas’ Rivers of Gold: The Rise of the Spanish Empire from Columbus to Magellan...
October 9, 2009 @ 10:20 am | Buy, VZ |
Here’s what’s wrong with Verizon (VZ): The company’s landline business is slowly shrinking; the U.S. wireless market, which is supposed to make up for the drop in land line phones, is nearing saturation; and the company, which already carries a huge load of debt,...
October 6, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, COF, Leading Indicators |
“A crisis is a terrible thing to waste,” said Stanford economist Paul Romer way back in 2007 near the start of the recent (or should that be “current”?) global fiscal and economic crisis. You certainly understand why if you take a look at U.S. economic history. Most...
October 5, 2009 @ 12:30 pm | Breaking News, COF, Leading Indicators |
HSBC (HBC) CEO MichaelGeoghegan told the Financial Times that he expects international regulators will eventually require banks to have Tier One capital ratios of about 10%. That’s significantly higher than the 8% target now going the rounds in conversations...
October 2, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, COF, Leading Indicators |
We’ve got a little problem in the economy. Tiny really. Nothing to worry about. Just that money supply is falling and that could endanger the entire economic recovery. The Federal government and the Federal Reserve are pumping money into the economy as fast as they...
September 30, 2009 @ 12:40 pm | ENB, Sell |
In the current stock market Enbridge (ENB) is neither fish nor fowl. And since the stock has hit my December 2009 target price of $38 a share, I’m going to sell it out of Jubak’s Picks. Here’s what I mean by that cryptic neither fish nor fowl...
September 29, 2009 @ 6:50 pm | BMY, Leading Indicators |
Last time we had a one day pull back that led some of us (okay, me) to question whether this rally was getting tired we saw the stock market as a whole go down but the drug sector move up. Now today’s strength in the sector on a down day for the market as a...
September 29, 2009 @ 2:30 pm | AAPL, Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
China Unicom (CHU) announced on September 28 that it will begin selling Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone in China on October 1. China Unicom is China’s second largest mobile phone operator. (For more on how the Chinese players line up and the coming battle between...
September 25, 2009 @ 11:50 am | Buy, CSCO |
Remarks by Cisco Systems (CSCO) CEO John Chambers got me thinking about the potential for a new economy emerging in 2011 and beyond so, it’s only fair that I begin my next stock market portfolio with shares of Cisco Systems (CSCO). (See my 8:30 a.m. post today for...
September 25, 2009 @ 8:30 am | AMZN, Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Sometimes the shortest distance to portfolio disaster is a straight line between two points. This, I believe, is one of those times. If I’ve been clear about nothing else in the last few weeks, I hope I’ve been clear on how impossible it is to find a reliable,...
September 22, 2009 @ 12:30 pm | JOY, Sell |
Joy Global (JOYG) has blown through my target price for June 2010 in just two months. Try as I might, I can’t juggle the fundamental numbers to come up a reason to raise that target now, so I’m going to sell these shares out of Jubak’s Picks. Joy...
September 8, 2009 @ 3:10 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, QCOM |
In my 11:45 post today, “Huh? Wall Street thinks higher unemployment is good news?” I said that I was still not convinced that the economic recession was truly over. The recovery that we’ve seen signs of in the last few months could simply be inventory restocking....