November 13, 2009 @ 8:30 am | AAPL, Breaking News, Leading Indicators, You May Have Missed |
I know Apple (AAPL) is an investor darling trading near an all-time high. And I know the company’s products have tremendous consumer cache. So much so that the company is able to sell its iPhones and iMacs for prices well above those charged by competitors. But it...
November 10, 2009 @ 11:30 am | OKS, Sell |
Sell Oneok Partners (OKS) Master limited partnership units of Oneok Partners (OKS) have run through my target price of $54 a share by March 2010 and just kept on going. I still like this natural gas pipeline play for its yield of 7.5% (as of November 9, 2009) so I’m...
November 3, 2009 @ 12:30 pm | Breaking News, CHK, Leading Indicators |
Doesn’t anybody know that there’s a natural gas glut in the United States? In a glut low prices are supposed to force producers to shut wells and reduce production so that demand has a chance to catch up with supply and prices can start to rise. It just doesn’t seem...
October 20, 2009 @ 8:30 am | AMZN, Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Elisabeth Kubler-Ross laid out the five stages of grief in her 1969 book On Death and Dying. There’s denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and finally acceptance. The financial markets when confronting a strong trend work through their own five stages. Not of grief....
October 13, 2009 @ 9:45 am | Breaking News, CHK, Leading Indicators |
We know what the health care reform legislation due today for a vote in the Senate Finance Committee will cost: $829 billion over ten years. We know that it will extend coverage to 94% of all Americans, up from 83% now. And, thanks to the blessings of the...
October 12, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, QCOM |
It’s early yet in earnings season, but I were a gambling man, I’d give the technology sector odds on leading the stock market again this quarter. Wall Street is beating the bushes for earnings growth right now. If earnings don’t go up in the next...
October 9, 2009 @ 6:13 pm | AMZN, Leading Indicators, Stuff Jim Recommends |
Happy Europeans discover the New World even though none of the people who lived there then knew that they needed finding Day. I don’t mean to disparage Columbus. As a history such as Hugh Thomas’ Rivers of Gold: The Rise of the Spanish Empire from Columbus to Magellan...
October 9, 2009 @ 10:20 am | Buy, VZ |
Here’s what’s wrong with Verizon (VZ): The company’s landline business is slowly shrinking; the U.S. wireless market, which is supposed to make up for the drop in land line phones, is nearing saturation; and the company, which already carries a huge load of debt,...
October 6, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, COF, Leading Indicators |
“A crisis is a terrible thing to waste,” said Stanford economist Paul Romer way back in 2007 near the start of the recent (or should that be “current”?) global fiscal and economic crisis. You certainly understand why if you take a look at U.S. economic history. Most...
October 5, 2009 @ 12:30 pm | Breaking News, COF, Leading Indicators |
HSBC (HBC) CEO MichaelGeoghegan told the Financial Times that he expects international regulators will eventually require banks to have Tier One capital ratios of about 10%. That’s significantly higher than the 8% target now going the rounds in conversations...
October 2, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, COF, Leading Indicators |
We’ve got a little problem in the economy. Tiny really. Nothing to worry about. Just that money supply is falling and that could endanger the entire economic recovery. The Federal government and the Federal Reserve are pumping money into the economy as fast as they...
September 30, 2009 @ 12:40 pm | ENB, Sell |
In the current stock market Enbridge (ENB) is neither fish nor fowl. And since the stock has hit my December 2009 target price of $38 a share, I’m going to sell it out of Jubak’s Picks. Here’s what I mean by that cryptic neither fish nor fowl...
September 29, 2009 @ 6:50 pm | BMY, Leading Indicators |
Last time we had a one day pull back that led some of us (okay, me) to question whether this rally was getting tired we saw the stock market as a whole go down but the drug sector move up. Now today’s strength in the sector on a down day for the market as a...
September 29, 2009 @ 2:30 pm | AAPL, Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
China Unicom (CHU) announced on September 28 that it will begin selling Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone in China on October 1. China Unicom is China’s second largest mobile phone operator. (For more on how the Chinese players line up and the coming battle between...
September 25, 2009 @ 11:50 am | Buy, CSCO |
Remarks by Cisco Systems (CSCO) CEO John Chambers got me thinking about the potential for a new economy emerging in 2011 and beyond so, it’s only fair that I begin my next stock market portfolio with shares of Cisco Systems (CSCO). (See my 8:30 a.m. post today for...
September 25, 2009 @ 8:30 am | AMZN, Breaking News, Leading Indicators |
Sometimes the shortest distance to portfolio disaster is a straight line between two points. This, I believe, is one of those times. If I’ve been clear about nothing else in the last few weeks, I hope I’ve been clear on how impossible it is to find a reliable,...
September 22, 2009 @ 12:30 pm | JOY, Sell |
Joy Global (JOYG) has blown through my target price for June 2010 in just two months. Try as I might, I can’t juggle the fundamental numbers to come up a reason to raise that target now, so I’m going to sell these shares out of Jubak’s Picks. Joy...
September 8, 2009 @ 3:10 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, QCOM |
In my 11:45 post today, “Huh? Wall Street thinks higher unemployment is good news?” I said that I was still not convinced that the economic recession was truly over. The recovery that we’ve seen signs of in the last few months could simply be inventory restocking....
August 31, 2009 @ 3:03 pm | JCI |
The long-term future for Johnson Controls (JCI) is in batteries for hybrid and electric cars, and systems for building-wide energy efficiency. Not that the near-term future is so bad. What with the recovery, slow though it might be, in the global auto industry....
August 28, 2009 @ 1:35 pm | AMZN, Leading Indicators |
So who’s right about China’s stock markets? Domestic Chinese investors, who follow government pronouncements on bank lending as if they’re portfolios depended on it, have led selling that has taken the Shanghai Stock market down 16% in August. Wall Street money...
August 25, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, CHK, Leading Indicators |
So which would you rather own, Petrobras (PBR) or StatoilHydro (STO)? On the surface that’s a no brainer. Petrobras is sitting on new deep sea finds in the South Atlantic that will, probably, double the company’s oil reserves. StatoilHydro’s production is concentrated...
August 21, 2009 @ 8:30 am | Breaking News, CHK, Leading Indicators |
Some company will eventually make a killing from today’s collapse in natural gas prices. But when? And which company? Value investors usually only need to identify a bargain and then hang on until the rest of the stock market catches up with their thinking. But the...
August 6, 2009 @ 5:16 pm | AAPL, Breaking News |
Ladies and gentlemen. In this corner, wearing the Macintosh red trunks, Apple (AAPL) and its partner China Unicom(CHU) In the other corner, wearing the Chrome trunks, Google (GOOG) and its partner China Mobile (CHL). That’s the lineup that’s about to cross...
August 4, 2009 @ 8:30 am | AAPL, Breaking News |
Not a bad’s day work for any company. You could have once described Apple (AAPL) as a niche company that produced cool products for a tiny sliver of the market. No more. On Monday, August 3, Apple demonstrated that although it may not have the market share of a...
August 3, 2009 @ 6:21 pm | Breaking News, Leading Indicators, QCOM |
Investors have convinced themselves that the economy is getting better faster than they expected. Unfortunately, that’s the kind of emotional feedback loop that gets investors and markets in trouble. Know what the most important evidence these investors cite is...
July 31, 2009 @ 6:00 pm | Breaking News, CHK, Leading Indicators |
Last week it was oil companies reporting their earnings numbers. Monday investors get a big dose of numbers from natural companies. The earnings aren’t likely to be pretty although since many producers wrote down billions in assets last quarter–Chesapeake...
July 23, 2009 @ 7:11 pm | AMZN, Leading Indicators |
Thank God it’s Friday. After moving up so strongly–aother 4% gain on the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index from Monday to Thursday–the stock market is almost certain to retreat tomorrow. But because it’s a Friday–and the market...
July 22, 2009 @ 3:47 pm | AAPL, Breaking News |
Apple (AAPL) crushed Wall Street estimates when it reported earnings on July 21. Earnings per share for the company’s fiscal third quarter grew 13% from the third quarter of 2008. Revenue grew by 12% in a quarter when almost no company is reporting any sales growth....
July 21, 2009 @ 5:36 pm | Breaking News, QCOM |
As earnings rallies drive along–and we’re sure in one now–investors gradually start to expect good news. More and more earnings surprises are anticipated by stock prices that start to climb before the results are reported. Part way through the...
July 16, 2009 @ 4:19 pm | Breaking News, CHK |
Got gas? The world has a lot more natural than anybody thought—if you count the unconventional supplies that once were out of reach to drillers. The world has 3,250 trillion cubic feet of unconventional natural gas resources, energy research company PFC Energy said on...