June 8, 2018 @ 1:10 pm | ARCO, Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Sell |
Back when emerging markets started to break down, I sold my positions in Argentina. Then it looked like the damage might be limited to that country. Not though it’s clear that the whole sector is under pressure and that investors trying to avoid the next...
June 5, 2018 @ 6:50 pm | Breaking News, NKTR, Update, Volatility |
It’s never good to turn in disappointing results in a drug trial–as Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) did over the weekend–but to whack 40% off the stock price on this news is an extreme over-reaction. To justify a 40% drop you have to assume 1) that the...
June 5, 2018 @ 6:40 pm | AAPL, Breaking News, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Update, You May Have Missed |
The keynote that opened Apple’s (AAPL) Worldwide Developers Conference (June 4 through 8) walked a tough balancing act between admitting that Apple needs to catch up with competitors in some areas (Poor Siri) and introducing stuff that will differentiate Apple from...
June 1, 2018 @ 7:56 pm | Breaking News, INCY, Volatility |
Today the U.S. Food & Drug Administration did finally approve Baricitinib, now known as Olumiant, for the treatment of moderately-to-severely active rheumatoid arthritis. But the approval carries more restrictions than expected. The FDA approved only the 2...
May 30, 2018 @ 6:54 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, KMI |
Yesterday the Canadian government announced that it will buy the Trans Mountain Pipeline from Kinder Morgan Canada for CAD$ 4.5 billion. Kinder Morgan (KMI), a member of my Dividend Portfolio, owns a 70% stake in Kinder Morgan Canada. The sale, which certainly...
May 24, 2018 @ 7:56 pm | Breaking News, EQNR, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Volatility |
A change in the name and ticker of portfolio holding Statoil (STO). The explanation offered by the company is that it wanted to remove “oil” from its name to better reflect the company’s increasing emphasis on other forms of energy including wind...
May 17, 2018 @ 6:57 pm | Breaking News, Buy, Jubak Picks Portfolio, VLO |
Last night on my JubakAM.com and JugglingWithKnives.com subscription sites I laid out the case argued by Morgan Stanley for believing that distillate prices are heading higher in the face of a tight supplies for these refinery products. One of the refiners Morgan...
May 15, 2018 @ 6:19 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, NKTR, Update, Volatility |
It hasn’t exactly been a stellar couple of months for shares and options on Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR). The stock, which I hold in my Jubak Picks portfolio, is down 23.1% since it hit a high of $108.44 on March 8. The August 17, 2018 call options with a strike...
May 14, 2018 @ 7:26 pm | Breaking News, Buy, GOLD, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Recent Buys, You May Have Missed |
My criteria for adding a gold stock to my long-term 50 Stocks portfolio have been reasonably consistent over the years: I’ve looked for a gold miner that was growing gold production and reducing production costs. Up until my latest revision of this portfolio in...
May 14, 2018 @ 7:14 pm | AMZN, Breaking News, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Update |
OK, so even remembering that announcing a new technology product isn’t the same as actually putting a working product into the market (as Microsoft (MSFT) and Intel (INTC) have proved over the years), but this announcement from Amazon (AMZN) is still a very big...
May 10, 2018 @ 6:42 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, NVDA, Update |
Okay, if you’re a trader I sort of understand selling Nvidia (NVDA) after today’s earnings report: Sell on the news; How can it get better? How long can the company keep it up? After all, the stock closed today just pennies below it’s all time high....
May 9, 2018 @ 7:12 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, PXD, STO, Update, Volatility |
Some days you need to search for an explanation for a market move. Other days the explanation hits you over the head. Today crude oil is up, in a strong but orderly move. Two catalysts. First, yesterday President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. would pull out of...
May 9, 2018 @ 7:00 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, SEDG, Update |
SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG), a member of my Jubak Picks portfolio, reported first quarter earnings today after the New York markets closed of 87 cents a share, 7 cents a share better than Wall Street projections. Revenue climbed 82.4% year over year (and 10.8% from...
May 7, 2018 @ 6:48 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, PXD, Volatility |
So much near-term noise. Since Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) reported earnings on May 2–the company beat Wall Street estimates on earnings by 16 cents a share and reported revenue in-line with projections and up 56.5% year over year–there’s been...
May 1, 2018 @ 6:26 pm | AAPL, Buy, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Update |
It wasn’t a big beat and iPhone sales weren’t wildly above consensus, but such was the fear and skepticism surrounding Apple (AAPL) that shares rose 3.61% in trading after the earnings announcement. The company reported earnings of $2.73 a share, five...
May 1, 2018 @ 6:14 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, MRK, Update |
This morning before the New York markets opened Merck (MRK) reported earnings of $1.05 a share, ahead of the $1.00 a share forecast by Wall Street analysts. Earnings were up 19.3% from the first quarter of 2017. Revenue grew 6% to $10 billion. That narrowly missed the...
April 30, 2018 @ 7:34 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, MCD, Update |
McDonald’s reported a solid earnings beat of 12 cents a share ($1.79 vs expectations for $1.67) before the market opened today, April 30. Revenue fell 9.5% year over year to $5.14 billion but that was still ahead of the $4.97 billion Wall Street consensus for...
April 30, 2018 @ 7:03 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, NKTR, Update, Volatility |
Shares of biotech rocket Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) are down 23.25% since they traded at $106.91 on March 21, 2018. I can’t find evidence that the positive catalysts that led me to recommend the stock for my Jubak Picks portfolio and the options for my...
April 30, 2018 @ 12:54 pm | Breaking News, FANG, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, PXD, STO |
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced that he will make a statement at 8 p.m. Tel Aviv time tonight on a “significant development” regarding the Iranian nuclear pact. (As best as I can do the conversions, 8 p.m. in Tel Aviv is 1 p.m. in New York.)...
April 27, 2018 @ 7:34 pm | Breaking News, Buy, Dividend Income Portfolio, MRK |
News out of the imuno-oncology sector of the biotech world has hit stocks in my portfolios such as Incyte (INCY) and Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) hard. But, I’d argue that it has left Keytruda and its owner Merck (MRK) in a measurably stronger position in the...
April 27, 2018 @ 4:34 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Recent Buys, ZNH |
I’ve been looking to add shares of China Southern Airlines (ZNH) to my long-term 50 Stocks ever since I saw the newest list of the world’s 20 busiest airports from the Airports Council International on April 6. Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson...
April 26, 2018 @ 7:47 pm | AMZN, Breaking News, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, You May Have Missed |
Amazon (AMZN), Intel (INTC), and Microsoft (MSFT) all reported earnings after the close today. All three beat earnings estimates–but this market hasn’t been very generous in rewarding earnings surprises (after Netflix (NFLX)) that is. The key tests here...
April 25, 2018 @ 7:28 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, STO, Update, Volatility |
There’s no pleasing the market these days. Shares of Statoil (STO) fell 1.54% to $24.96 today after the company reported first quarter earnings of $4.4 billion, its highest quarterly profit in three years and 33% higher than in the first quarter of 2017. But the...
April 25, 2018 @ 11:40 am | Breaking News, GOOG, Update, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
Some times in the financial markets, the numbers aren’t as important as the narrative. I think that was the case with Alphabet (GOOG), Tuesday, April 24. Monday after the market close Alphabet reported first quarter earnings of $9.93. That was a healthy 64 cents...
April 23, 2018 @ 11:10 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, KMI, Update |
he earnings results for Kinder Morgan’s (KMI) first quarter were in line; it’s 60% increase in the annual dividend was more aggressive than expected. Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest payments, taxes, and depreciation) was $1.90 billion for the...
April 23, 2018 @ 7:56 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, FANG, HP, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, PXD, SLB, STO, Volatility |
Oil futures in New York settled at their highest since December 2014. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate climbed 0.35% to close at $68.88 a barrel. International benchmark Brent crude rose 0.88% to $74.71 a barrel. The gains were unusual in that the U.S. dollar...
April 23, 2018 @ 7:11 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, IBCP |
Independent Bank (IBCP) reported first quarter earnings of 42 cents a share today. That’s up from 28 cents a share in the first quarter of 2017. Special items added 4 cents a share to earnings. The reduction in the bank’s tax rate thanks to the Tax Cuts...
April 19, 2018 @ 6:37 pm | BAC, Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio |
On Monday Bank of America (BAC) reported first quarter earnings of 62 cents a share, 3 cents a share above Wall Street estimates. Earnings were up 51% year over year on a 4% increase of revenue to $23.1 billion. That was ahead of the consensus at $23.04 billion. Wall...
April 19, 2018 @ 6:28 pm | Breaking News, DHR, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
Danaher (DHR) reported fourth quarter earnings of 80 cents a share before the market opened today, April 19. That was 3 cents a share ahead of Wall Street projections. Revenue climbed 10.9% year over year to $5.09 billion. The Wall Street consensus called for $4.97...
April 18, 2018 @ 6:49 pm | Breaking News, FANG, Jubak Picks Portfolio, PXD, STO |
West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 3.16% today to $68.80 a barrel. Futures for May delivery moved over $68 a barrel for the first time in three years. Yesterday the American Petroleum Institute reported a 1.05 million barrel draw down in U.S. inventories. Today the...