Rally shifts into reverse as Trump administration announces more U.S. tariffs on Chinese exports likely on the way
Monday, October 29, started off with a technology-led rally. As of 10:04 a.m. New York time the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 1.81% and the technology-heavy NASDAQ Composite was higher by 1.75%. And then Bloomberg reported that the Trump administration was...
Autoliv shares move up as future outweighs past
Before the market open today, Autoliv (ALV) delivered disappointing earnings for the third quarter. But the stock still climbed on news that China is considering cutting the tax on car purchases to 5% from 10% in an effort to stimulate the country’s auto market...
I’m selling GE out of my Dividend Portfolio ahead of tomorrow’s earnings report
General Electric (GE) is scheduled to finally report third quarter earnings tomorrow. Wall Street is looking for earnings per share of 20 cents for the quarter on revenue of $29.94 billion. I’m expecting that new CEO Lawrence Culp, the former CEO of Jubak Picks...
Today this looks increasingly like a market in sector rotation
The major U.S. indexes opened the day strongly lower on disappointing earnings news and guidance from Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOG) after the market close yesterday. But the markets reversed in the morning–the low for the day for the Standard &...
GDP grows at annualized 3.5% in third quarter, but…
Real GDP (that is GDP discounting any gains from inflation) increased at an annualized rate of 3.5% in the third quarter. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com were looking for 3.3% growth rate. In the second quarter GDP grew at an annualized rate of 4.2%. Big driver in...
‘Tis the season–well “seasons” actually–for end of year selling, portfolio window dressing, small cap rallies, and the January effect
So many trends get packed into the last three months of the year–and you shouldn’t forget about any of them when it comes to buying and selling. (You’ll find lots of information on these and other calendar trends in the Stock Trader’s Almanac...
Nothing but bad news–and S&P 500 still sinks only 0.55%
Red, red, red everywhere today. Caterpillar (CAT) and 3M (((MMM) disappointed on guidance. China and Europe sold off. As did the financial sector with the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) falling 0.77% to $25.90 to break or at least test support. And, then, as...
Words, yuan from Beijing push two-day rally to 7%
Friday’s disappointing GDP report did goad China’s government to action to support the stock market and the economy, as I wrote that it would in my Friday post. Words from Chinese President Xi Jinping helped continue the surge in Chinese stock prices off a...
Fed’s “footnotes” in yesterday’s minutes from the September meeting worry markets
Reading the fine print is good advice when it comes to minutes from meetings of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee too. So far today, October 18, the financial markets are in a slight retreat because of notes released yesterday along with the minutes of...
Last night Netflix soared on earnings and lower forward guidance didn’t count–today?
After the market close yesterday, October 16, Netflix (NFLX) announced third quarter earnings of 89 cents a share, a huge 21 cents a share above Wall Street projections. Revenues climbed 34% year over year to $4 billion against analyst estimates of $3.99 billion. The...
Stocks hold most of last hour’s gains–and that’s important
An extremely volatile day–but the market held most of its gains into the close–and that’s important if you’re trying to figure out whether we’ve seen the last (for a while, at least) of this week’s selling. Let’s take a look...
Market reaction to big bank earnings not good way to start earnings season
Earnings from Citibank (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Wells Fargo (WFC looked solid this morning but the more the market thought about them the more disappointed it got. The Financial Sector Select SPDR ETF (XLF) was up 1.6% in the early going but as of 2:30 p.m. New...
Oil moves higher today on Hurricane Michael, IEA supply warning
U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 0.7% today to close at $74.81 a barrel. International benchmark Brent crude rose 1.23% to $84.94 a barrel. The International Energy Agency warned of what it termed a “risky situation; the oil markets are...
International Monetary Fund cuts global growth estimates
Just what we need: More worries about global growth. Last night the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its forecast for global economic growth to 3.7% in 2018 and 2019. In its last forecast three months ago the IMF had projected that the global economy would grow...
Watch out! Oil prices look to be running away from OPEC/Russia controlWatch out! Oil prices look to be running away from OPEC/Russia control
Russia and Saudi Arabia have opened the taps, pumping an extra 1 million barrels a day of oil, and the two countries are making a big show of saying that they could do even more. But the oil market doesn’t seem to care and oil prices keep climbing. As of 11:30...
Buying Naspers in my Jubak Picks Portfolio
As I wrote in my Special Report: “10 Picks for the Emerging Markets Bounce,” (on my subscription JubakAm.com site) I’m adding Naspers (NPSNY) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio. It’s unlikely that you know much about this South African Internet...
Wall Street sees a Trump administration trade strategy: Let’s all gang up on China
Today Wall Street and trade analysts are saying that they see a grand strategy in the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade deal announced yesterday, in the trade deal with South Korea, and in negotiations with Japan and the European Union. The goal, this analysis says, is to put...
China’s economy continued to slow in September so Shanghai stocks moved up
On Saturday the Chinese government and private surveys released more numbers showing that the country’s economy was slowing. In September growth in China’s manufacturing sector stalled after 15 months of expansion, according to the Caixin/Market...
Mortgage rates and odds of December interest rate increase climb after Fed meeting
Yesterday meeting of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee ended with the committee raising the short-term Fed Funds benchmark rate 25 basis points and signaling an intention of raising rates again in December and then three more times in 2019. Yesterday...
Fed raises interest rates, locks in December increase, signals 3 moves in 2019
No surprise on a September interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve today–but some very aggressive signals on policy into 2019. The 25 basis point increase today raised the Fed Funds rate to a target of 2% to 2.25%. The economy remains solid; Â job growth...
Battle over bond yields, interest rates shifts to 2019
Remember back at the beginning of 2018 when bond investors and traders couldn’t agree on whether the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates two times, or three times or four times in the year? (It wound up being four.) Well, we’re looking at a replay...
China says it won’t intentionally devalue yuan in response to U.S. tariffs
Just hours after the Trump administration announced 10% tariffs on an additional $200 billion in Chinese exports, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said the nation wouldn’t devalue its currency in order to make its exports more competitive. Which, of course, doesn’t...
Is the next big tech stock thing, Chinese tech stocks?
There’s some evidence that the money that has left big U.S. tech stocks such as Facebook (FB), Netflix (NFLX), Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) on some recent days has been headed into big Chinese tech stocks such as Tencent Holdings (TCEHY), Alibaba (BABA),...
A slip in the dollar and a bounce in the euro
The dollar is down today against the euro and some emerging market currencies, such as the Turkish lira, are rallying. The news ostensibly behind the move is some data indicating that U.S. inflation slipped in August. The logic goes that with inflation sliding the...
White House talk of tariffs on an additional $267 billion in Chinese goods ends “breather day”
Markets started off today as if they were determined to take a breather from a week of worry that the emerging markets crisis was about to spread to developed markets. In morning trading the Standard & Poor’s 500, the NASDAQ Composite, and the iShares MSCI...
Ominous weakening today, September 6, below the surface in U.S. stocks
I know it looks like nothing much happened in the U.S. stock market today, Thursday, September 6. After all the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index was off just 0.37% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was actually head by 0.08%. But below the surface,...
Will today’s profit-taking turn into something worse?
I think today’s market downturn is nothing more or less than profit taking. It’s not surprising that investors and traders would sell Amazon (AMZN), for example, today (down 2.19%) since the shares were up 11.6% for the past 30 days as of September 4. The...
U.S. trade deficit climbs in July, deficit with China hits a record
Today, Wednesday September 5, the Department of Commerce reported that the U.S. trade deficit climbed to $50.1 million in July. (Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had projected a deficit of $50.2 billion.) That was up from $45.7 billion in June and the largest increase...
Core consumer inflation climbs at a 2.3% annual rate in July numbers
Granted the Federal Reserve watches the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index to measure inflation, but the big jump in the July Consumer Price Index should remove the last doubts (if any remain) about a September interest rate increase from the Fed. The headline...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
Every post from Jubak Picks straight to your mailbox. And they're free!