And then there was one–maybe–AI company with a path to profits
In the distant past–you know like maybe 6 months ago, the conventional Wall Street wisdom divided AI stocks into two camps. There was the large group that included exciting shoot-the-moon companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Coreweave that were out on the...
Pick your poison: central bank meetings or Magnificent 7 earnings
This coming big potentially market-moving news on two fronts. Potentially. One of the two news flows is much more likely than the other to actually move stocks First, it’s central bank week. The Federal Reserve and its peers in the Euro Zone and Japan will probably...
There’s nothing magical about 5% interest rates–until you add massive, stunningly complex leverage
On October 15, Barry Ritholtz on his Big Picture blog published a really important piece for all investors now–“No, Rising Bond Yields Did Not Trigger the GFC” (ritholtz.com.) In his post Ritholz argued convincingly and to my mind totally correctly, that...
So far it looks like a market rotation
There is clear evidence of a short-term rotation out of parts of technology, especially semiconductors and AI-hardware names, and into financials and other value/cyclical sectors. But it is not yet a decisive, sustained “tech-to-healthcare” leadership...
Bonds say “Worry” but stocks look at projected earnings and say “What, me worry?”
Bond yields keep rising. Premiums for holding risky bonds keep climbing. Bonds below investment grade are trading at deeply distessed prices. The bond market is clearly signalling tough, risky, potentially loss-filled times ahead. And stocks just don’t care The Nasdaq...
There’s no room at the chip foundry–through 2026
Global wafer foundry utilization is nearing 90% as intense AI-driven demand keeps advanced and mature chip capacity tight through 2026, according to Digitimes. Overall fab utilization is approaching 90%, with no significant price relief expected before 2027. Surging...
Buy Alibaba on its move up to #1 global AI model
Alibaba’s (BABA) open-weight models have accumulated more than 3 billion global downloads in the past six months, eclipsing Meta Platforms Inc., Alphabet Inc. and domestic peers to become the world’s No. 1 artificial-intelligence model. Qwen, Alibaba’s family of AI...
Now that’s circular: The profit boom at tech companies like Amazon and Alphabet comes from investments in AI companies
Tech giants like Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOG) have powered the stock market to record highs. But in recent months, a big driver of those two companies’ profits came from an unusual source: The increasing value of their investment stakes in artificial intelligence...
Time to rebuy Nvidia in my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio
I sold Nvidia (NVDA) out go my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio on March 18 at a closing price of $180.40 My thinking then was that after a huge run Nvidia’s share had moved to an excessively optimistic valuation and it was time to give the shares a rest with...
So exactly how bad are things down on the farm?
Very, very bad. Last year, America’s crop farmers lost $34.6 billion, and farm bankruptcies surged to numbers not seen since 2020, according to the American Farm Bureau Federation. This year, 70% of farmers surveyed claim they cannot afford all the fertilizers they...
Now that’s a narrow market!
Artificial intelligence infrastructure spending is poised to become the dominant force behind S&P 500 earnings growth over the next two years, according to new analysis from Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs projects that beneficiaries of AI infrastructure investment...
At Southern Copper and Vale the cost of producing copper has gone negative
There’s an old business joke–its origin may stretch back to 1833–that has a company claim that it loses money on every sale but makes it up on volume. I swear I remember it as a kid as part of a radio ad campaign for a clothing store in New Jersey. And...
3-5 years to repair Qatar LNG war damage changes the story for U.S. exporters–adding more shares of LNG
The early stages of the Iran war had relatively little impact of U.S. natural gas prices and revenue projections for U.S. LNG exporters. That’s because U.S. LNG export terminals are operating at or near full capacity, so disruptions to global LNG supplies...
I think it’s time to give Nvidia a rest–selling my position on Wednesday
When the CEO extends the company’s $500 billion revenue projection for 2026 by adding another $500 billion for 2027–we’re talking $1 trillion in revenue here, folks–and the stock barely budges, I think we’re looking at a stock in need of a valuation reset....
Nvidia blows past Wall Street earnings expectations
Nvidia (NVDA) shares rose 3% in after-hours trading on Wednesday after the company reported fiscal fourth-quarter results and guidance that topped Wall Street’s forecasts by a wide margin. For the period ending January 25, Nvidia said it earned an adjusted $1.62...
Coming soon, DeepSeek V4: the next big test for AI stocks, tech sector, and the entire market
I’m writing this while waiting for Nvidia’s earnings report. I’m interested to see if the company addresses the DeepSeek challenge. China’s AI disruptor DeepSeek is preparing to introduce a new model. Reuters had initially reported that DeepSeek would launch its...
Would you buy a 100-year AI bond even from Google?
Alphabet/Google (G00G) borrowed another $20 billion in its biggest ever U.S. dollar bond sale on Monday. And that’s just the beginning. The company is also planning debut deals in Switzerland and the UK. Including the sale of 100-year bonds. Drum role, please: That...
Will earnings this week be enough to restore tech leadership in the market?
A week of Big Tech earnings reports will confirm or reverse what sure looks like a sector rotation away from tech shares and into metal company stocks. The group known as the Magnificent Seven–Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), Microsoft...
A new quarter but the same old Intel problems
On Friday, January 23, shares of Intel (INTC) fell by more than 17%. And they dropped another 5.7% today, January 26. Which was quite a turnaround from the stock’s recent performance. From 1 October 1, 2025 to January 21, 2026, Intel’s stock rose from about...
Could memory chip shortages, price hikes put tech earnings at risk?
Prices for memory chips are forecast to soar in 2026. but what just as bad/even worse it looks like chip customers are looking at serious supply shortages during the year. Higher prices and supply shortages could be enough to put earnings at risk at some high multiple...
Nvidia speeds things up in AI
I’d argue that the big news out of the 2026 Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas wasn’t about new chips, or flashy hardware across TVs, PCs, phones, and robots. It’s all about speed: Nvidia (NVDA) pushed up the launch schedule for its new Vera Rubin AI...
The road to rare earth independence runs through Lynas and MP Materials
If the United States (and other technology economies such as Japan and Europe) are serious about reducing China’s dominance in the crucial minerals called rare earths (and I believe they are), then you need to realize as an investor that in the next five years all...
Next week is Nvidia’s week
Nvidia (NVDA) will report earnings Wednesday November 19, for the quarter that ended on October 25. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 13 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $1.17. The reported EPS for the same...
My sixth pick for the energy crisis: CCJ
Yesterday in my Special Report on the energy crisis on my subscription site JubakAM.Com I made Cameco my sixth pick. Third, the intense competition to lock up sources of decently priced and reliable electricity: Pick #6: Cameco (CCJ))
My first pick for my Special Report: The 3 Energy Crises is JCI
If you want to read all of this Special Report on our 3 energy crises you can subscribe at JubakAM.COM My picks for the NOW stage of our 3 energy crises. I’m making Johnson Controls International (JCI) my first pick in this Special Report. Johnson Controls as a market...
Nvidia drops 3.03% after earnings as market decides 56% data center growth isn’t good enough
Nvidia’s basic problem is that investor expectations are so high that the company struggles to meet them. In the quarter ended on July 27, results released today after the close of trading, Nvidia said it earned an adjusted $1.05 per share on $46.74 billion in...
Nvidia gains after-hours on earnings, but will the gains hold tomorrow?
In after-hours trading on Wednesday, May 28, shares of Nvidia (NVDA) were up 4.51% as of 5 p.m. in New York after the company reported earnings for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. For any company but Nvidia the results would qualify as a home run. For the period...
Shares of BYD plunge as global EV price war gets hotter
BYD (BYDDY or BYDDF), China’s No. 1 selling car brand tumbled 9.3 at the close today%, while peers Li Auto, Great Wall Motor and Geely Automobile Holding dropped more than 5% on an intensifying price war in the electric vehicle sector. BYD is offering discounts on 22...
It’s definitely a trend: 3 more bellwether companies rescind guidance
Ford Motor (F), Cummins (CMI), and Mattel (MAT) are the latest companies to pull their revenue and earnings guidance for the rest of 2025 because of uncertainty introduced by the Trump tariffs. All three companies withdrew guidance for future quarters after announcing...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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