How much of a hedge do you need–and how much can you afford
I try to use big up and (especially) down days in the stock market to stress test my portfolio. One of the things I look to learn from a high volatility down days is how the hedges that I’ve put on to protect my portfolio work under big stress. So, for example,...
Selling Meituan and Naspers to cut China exposure
Last Wednesday, July 28, Chinese financial regulators told big investors–banks and investment groups heavily exposed to China’s stock market–not to worry. China’s financial markets were sound and despite the fears engendered by the...
A tried and true earnings game boosts Microsoft another 1.23% today
After picking up; 1.3% yesterday, shares of Microsoft added 1.23% today, Friday, July 23, as Wall Street analysts raised earnings estimates ahead of the company’s July 27 earnings report. It’s a tried and true earnings season game: No analyst wants to be...
Taiwan Semiconductor earnings on Thursday upended chip stocks–here’s why
On Thursday, July 15, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), the world’s leading chip foundry, reported earnings of 93 cents a share for the second quarter, up 18% year over year. That was inline with analyst estimates. Sales rose 28%. The company raised its...
Watch my new YouTube video: QuickPick–3 reasons to buy Deere
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My thirty-fourth YouTube video “QuickPick: 3 reasons to buy Deere” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
Buying AMD shares and options tomorrow as my play on a second quarter earnings season surprise
Yesterday in my video “3 Picks for an Earnings Blowout” I argued the case that even the 61% second quarter year to year jump in earnings in the Wall Street analyst consensus was unerstated. For example, I noted that the current estimate of $44.91 a share...
With Fed stress test behind them, banks announce deluge of dividend increases and share buybacks
That didn’t take long. On Thursday the Federal Reserve reported that all 23 big banks tested in its annual stress test, passed. Which means that the last remaining restrictions on dividend increases and share buybacks are now history. Yesterday big banks started...
Buying Martin Marietta Materials in my Jubak Picks Portfolio to add to infrastructure plays
On Monday, June 28, I’ll be adding shares of Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio to increase my exposure to the infrastructure sector after the Thursday, June 24, announcement at the White House of a bipartisan infrastructure deal. You...
News that White House and Senator group have struck a deal on infrastructure sends the usual suspects higher today
The White House has announced that it has struck an infrastructure deal with a bipartisan group of 10 Senators. There are almost no details on the deal and it’s not at all clear that President Biden will be able to convince the progressive wing of his own party...
Wednesday copper price played a little catch up with copper stocks
Copper stocks have been moving steadily higher recently in anticipation of a turn in the eight week downward trend in the price of copper itself. Now the price of copper is showing some of the upward movement that the rally in copper stocks anticipated. For example,...
Take that Ford: GM will boost spending on electric and autonomous vehicles by 30% through 2025
General Motors (GM) will boost global spending on electric and autonomous vehicles to $35 billion through 2025. That’s a 30% jump over its last spending plan, Reuters reported today. The No. 1 U.S. automaker will build two additional U.S. battery plants and...
Buying Cyber Security stock CrowdStrike in my Jubak Picks and Millennial portfolios
I posted Friday, June 11, that investors looking for a theme to buy in an expensive market had turned to Cyber Security stocks. Makes sense, I noted, with ransomware attacks running at a fast pace and forecast pointing to even more attacks on corporate and government...
Investors see a theme to buy in CyberSecurity stocks today
Investors looking for a theme to buy in an expensive market where the Standard & Poor’s 500 hit a new all-time high yesterday today, June 11, looked to Cyber Security stocks. And why not with the newest round of ransomware attacks clearly not the last...
Adding Ford to my Jubak Picks Portfolio
Today I made Ford (F) my fifth pick for a falling market in my Special Report: Five Picks and Five Hedges for a Falling Market on my JubakAM.com subscription site. Some of the logic of that pick is laid in n more detail in the Special Report. With momentum stocks...
Selling VanEck Vectors Low Carbon Energy ETF out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio on June 3
Back when I bought the VanEck Vectors Low Carbon Energy ETF (SMOG) for my Jubak Picks Portfolio on January 7, 2021, it looked like this ETF’s overweighting in shares of Tesla (TSLA) would be an advantage. After all, the shares of the maker of the world’s...
Sell Equinor after oil recovery and dividend date
Oil prices have bounced back big time and with them the prices on oil stocks. I still think the long-term trend is against oil producers as efforts to combat global warming lead to lower consumption of fossil fuels. Equinor (EQNR), Norway’s state oil company,...
Disney drop in after-hours session after streaming subscriber number misses
Disney (DIS) shares tumbled by 3.64% in after-hours trading after the company reported fiscal second quarter numbers that beat Wall Street estimates on earnings but missed projections on revenue and on subscribers to the company’s Disney+ streaming service....
Watch my new YouTube video: 5 Stocks for an Inflation Scare
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The twenty-third YouTube video “Five Stocks for an Inflation Scare” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
My pick for rising farm commodity prices is Deere; adding it to Jubak Picks Portfolio
Wheat prices hit new highs at $7.46 a bushel at the end of April. That the highest since February 2013. Corn climbed to a new eight year high. The day soybeans rose for a tenth straight session to reach on eight year high. When the prices of farm commodities climb,...
Selling Freeport McMoRan Copper and Gold out of Jubak Picks on valuation
Copper has rallied–again–to a new 10-year high and that has taken Freeport McMoRan Copper and Gold to $39.53 today, April 28, as of 3:50 p.m.. That’s above my target price in my Jubak Picks Portfolio of $34. So today I’m selling this position....
Selling Intuitive Surgical out of Jubak Picks as it holds above target price
A couple of posts ago, I said that I’d be looking to sell Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio. The stock, added to this portfolio on February 15, 2021, had hit and then moved beyond my $860 a share target price after a stronger than...
Microsoft’s earnings report: When great isn’t good enough
Reporting after-hours today, April 27, Microsoft (MSFT) beat analyst expectations on revenue (reporting $41.7 billion versus a Wall Street forecast of $41.05 billion) and earnings per share (reporting $2.03 a share versus $1.78 a share.) And still shares fell by 2.62%...
Intuitive Surgical earnings surprise as recovery from pandemic faster than expected
Yesterday, April 20, after the market close Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) reported first quarter GAAP earnings of $3.51 a share, $1.47 a share above Wall Street estimates. Non-GAAP earnings of $3.52 were 89 cents a share above analyst expectations. Revenue for the quarter...
Microsoft buys Nuance to strengthen AI position
Microsoft (MSFT) will buy speech-recognition pioneer Nuance Communications (NUAN) for $19.6 billion in cash. The move will speed Microsoft’s ambitions in the healthcare digital record keeping market. Microsofts goal is to use voice recognition technology to...
Watch my new YouTube video: “3 picks for earnings season”
I’m starting up my videos on again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The seventeenth YouTube video “3 picks for earnings season” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
Apparently everybody decided today that tomorrow’s March jobs report will show accelerating economic growth
With the financial markets closed tomorrow for Good Friday, traders and investors jumped in to buy today ahead of what is expected to be a jobs report tomorrow morning showing unemployment dropping to 6.0% (by the official measure) from 6.2% in February. The Standard...
It’s just a proposal but Biden administration’s plan argues for adding wind power stocks right now–here are five picks
Today, May 29, the Biden administration announced an ambitious plan to expand wind farms along the East Coast. The goal would be to see the United States produce 30 gigawatts of offshore wind power by 2030. That’s just a little ambitious since U.S. offshore wind...
Adding ASML to Jubak Picks and 50 Stocks portfolios on Monday, March 29
In my Trick or Trend post on my subscription JubakAM.com site on Saturday, March 27, I argued that the increasingly serious chip shortage experienced by car makers was bad for car stocks (since car companies are having to cut production), but good for chip makers who...
Fed to end restrictions on bank dividends, share buybacks at end of June
U.S. banks that pass their next stress tests will allowed to raise their dividends after June 30, the Federal Reserve said yesterday, March 25. The Fed will also lift any remaining restrictions on stock buybacks. Limits on dividend payouts to investors and share...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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