Costco demonstrates strength in a very tough environment; keeping it as a portfolio pick
Shares of Costco Wholesale (COST) closed up 2.98% on September 26. The advance against the grain of a generally down market comes after the company announced a beat on both revenue and earnings for its fiscal fourth quarter on Thursday, September 22. The company...
Adding Eli Lilly to my Jubak Picks Portfolio on diabetes drug approval, selling Incyte to balance
I’m extremely reluctant to add any stocks to any portfolios right now. There’s just too much near-term uncertainty and we remain locked in the grip of a pushing Bear Market. But I do want to upgrade my portfolios when possible to increase their future...
My stock pick lithium producer Albemarle hits all time high before pulling back to close with 2.71% gain on the day
Lithium producer Albemarle (ALB) closed up 2.71% today after hitting an all-time high of $298.17 in intraday trading. The shares closed at $295.68. The gains for Albemarle, and across the lithium sector, came as Goldman Sachs upgraded lithium battery maker Freyr...
It’s not all bad news for tech stocks: Palo Alto Networks beats, announces 3/1 split, and gains 12%
After the close on Monday, August 22, Palo Alto Networks (PANW) reported fiscal fourth-quarter (adjusted) earnings of $2.39 a share. Analysts had projected $2.28 a share. Revenue climbed 27% to $1.6 billion. On a GAP basis (generally accepted accounting principles),...
It doesn’t look good in America’s corn fields
Acres that U.S. farmers were unable to plant have more than tripled from the same period last year as extreme weather wreaks havoc on fields, according to the August report from the Farm Service of the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Prevented planting acres–or...
Watch my new YouTube video: It’s All About Water
My one-hundred-and-sixty-sixth YouTube video “It’s All About Water” went up today. We’re back after a hiatus! In this video, I look at how global water scarcity could impact the chip industry, using Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) as...
I got these two key China trends wrong: Selling BABA and TCEHY
When I added Alibaba (BABA) to my Jubak’s Picks Portfolio on April 29, 2022, and Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) to my Volatility Portfolio on my subscription site JubakAM.com on January 3, 2022, I thought two things were about to happen in China. First, I thought that...
Chip makers say tough days ahead–I’m selling TSM and NXPI out of Jubak Picks
The chip boom is over–or at least coming to an end. Gartner has cut its outlook for revenue growth in 2022 to just 7.4%. That’s down from a forecast of 14% growth for chip revenue three months ago. Garner sees chip revenue falling 2.5% in 2023. And you...
3 sells for today’s CPI bounce–my goal is still to sell into this Bear Market rally
Despite today’s CPI inflation bounce and the continuation (flagging but still in business) of July’s Bear Market rally, my goal is still to sell into rallies. I don’t think this Bear Market is over and done with. I see another down leg when investors...
Another chip maker–this time is Micron–warns and chip stock take a hit
First, it was Nvidia (NVDA) cutting its guidance for revenue and earnings due on August 24. Today, August 9, it was Micron Technology (MU) warning that its revenue for the fourth-quarter revenue may come in at or below the bottom end of a forecast range provided in...
What to do about your oil stocks?
I’ve seen several comments on the site asking this question. I assume we’re talking about oil stocks in the short- and medium-term. In the long term, I think it’s clear that you should be thinking about selling these out of your portfolio at a profit...
What to sell in a Bear Market rally–and two sells for Monday, Omnicom and Alcoa
I ended my recent post “This looks like the Bear Market rally I’ve been waiting for” on my subscription JubakAM.com site by saying “Enjoy the ride but look to sell shares of companies that look most exposed to the return of recession/high...
Walmart’s warning shrinks pool of safe stocks–Coke and McDonald’s benefit on strong earnings today
With Walmart (WMT) shares down 7.74% as of noon New York time today, July 26, on the company’s warning yesterday about falling revenue, the pool of safe consumer stocks continues to shrink. Which is bad if you owned Walmart or Dollar General (DG), also down...
Natural gas, corn, and wheat lead commodities higher today
At the close today, July 26, the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN) was up 2.55% and the Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT) was ahead 4.11% Both of those commodity plays outgained the U.S. Natural Gas Fund (UNG) with its 1.38% move higher. But for consistent gains–and the...
Remember, natural gas isn’t just for heating; air conditioning demand sends natural gas for August delivery up 10.2% today
There are the base-load power plants that run all the time and meet the bulk of normal electricity demand. And then there are the power plants that are only intermittently called into service when demand spikes. In the United States the majority of the plants used to...
Please Watch My YouTube Video: Trend of the Week Hedging With Commodities Lives
My one-hundred-and-fifty-ninth YouTube video “Trend of the Week Hedging with Commodities Lives” went up today. The strong dollar has knocked commodity plays around. But the reasons for buying these hedges still hold. Inflation. Supply shortages (especially...
Adding Invesco Dollar Bullish Fund ETF to three portfolios
In my July 7 YouTube video: “Quick Pick UUP” I added the Invesco DB U.S. Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) to my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio. (To replace the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) in that portfolio. More on that in another post today.)...
Consumer staples outperform on Wednesday
It’s not surprising given the greater than expected decline in U.S. first quarter GDP reported on Wednesday, which followed on the slump in consumer confidence reported Tuesday, that stocks in the consumer staples sector outperformed both consumer discretionary...
Bad day for consumer stocks; good day for commodity shares
The Conference Board’s latest reading on consumer confidence showed consumer expectations in June fell to their lowest level since 2013. The consumer confidence index for June fell to 98.7 from 103.2 in May, below expectations for a reading of 100. The...
Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Quick Pick Cheniere Energy
My one-hundred-and-forty-ninth YouTube video “Quick Pick: Cheniere Energy” went up today. My Quick Pick this week is Cheniere Energy (LNG), a liquified natural gas producer that I currently own in my Volatility Portfolio on JubakAM.com and plan to add to...
Selling Booking Holdings out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio
As I noted in my “Bear Growls Louder for Consumer Stocks” post, consumer spending on services is looking weaker by the day and consumers seem to be trimming plans for summer travel. Bookings are slowing at airlines and hotels, for example. And it looks...
Buying U.S. Natural Gas Fund in my Jubak Picks Portfolio
I’m using the continued weakness in natural gas prices and in the U.S. Natural Gas Fund (UNG) to add the shares to my Jubak Picks Portfolio. The U.S. Natural Gas Fund was down another 5.90% today to close at $23.78. A fire at the Freeport LNG facility, which...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick U.S. Natural Gas–update
My one-hundred-and-forty-sixth YouTube video “Quick Pick U.S. Natural Gas Fund–update” went up today. The fire at the Freeport Liquified Natural Gas facility has disrupted U.S exports of natural gas. That’s resulted in a short-term glut in U.S....
It’s a war of two narratives–today “recession” narrative replaces “rate cut” narrative and stocks fall heavily
Yesterday, the stock market was up with the Standard & Poor’s 500 gaining 1.46% on the day and the NASDAQ Composite up 2.49%. Listening to the Federal Reserve’s policy statement after the June 15 meeting of its Open Market Committee, Wall Street chose...
Target outlook cut says some retailers have an inventory problem
Target (TGT) cut its profit outlook for the second time in three weeks. The company will attack oaring inventories in discretionary categories such as home furnishings with price mark downs, cancelling orders from vendors, and “off-loading excess inventory. (To...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Trend of the Week Danger of a Lithium Drought
My one-hundredth-and-forty-first YouTube video “Trend of the Week: Danger of a Lithium Drought” went up today. My Trend of the Week video looks at the effects of Chile’s 15-year drought on global lithium production and prices. In particular, I look...
In new forecast Delta Airlines projects rebound in Q2 sales to 2019 level, but higher than anticipated costs
So far it’s unanimous: On Wednesday, June 1, Delta Air Lines (DAL) joined United Airlines (UAL) and Southwest (LUV) in projecting rising demand in the second quarter, higher fuel costs, and staffing shortages severe enough to lead to cuts in flights. Delta said...
EU agrees to partial ban–66%–of Russian oil imports
The European Union has finally found a way to agree on a partial ban on oil imports from Russia. The group has agreed to an immediate ban on imports arriving by sea. That covers about two-thirds of Russian imports. To get Hungary’s vote for the partial ban, the...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick WEAT
My one-hundredth-and-thirty-sixth YouTube video “Quick Pick WEAT” went up today. I’m continuing my recent focus on wheat prices as they continue to rise. Higher wheat prices are the result of a perfect storm: the ongoing war in Ukraine, a blockade of...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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