Nothing but bad news–and S&P 500 still sinks only 0.55%
Red, red, red everywhere today. Caterpillar (CAT) and 3M (((MMM) disappointed on guidance. China and Europe sold off. As did the financial sector with the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) falling 0.77% to $25.90 to break or at least test support. And, then, as...
Words, yuan from Beijing push two-day rally to 7%
Friday’s disappointing GDP report did goad China’s government to action to support the stock market and the economy, as I wrote that it would in my Friday post. Words from Chinese President Xi Jinping helped continue the surge in Chinese stock prices off a...
Incyte news continues to rebuild credibility of pipeline
Shares of Incyte  (INCY) climbed 2.51% today on the announcement of positive results from a Phase 2 clinical trial, GEOMETRY mono-1, evaluating MET inhibitor capmatinib in 94 adult patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer. The company presented the data at...PayPal pops on earnings report
PayPal Holdings (PYPL) closed up 9.42% today to $84.78 on third quarter earnings, announced after the close yesterday, that beat Wall Street projections. Analysts had expected 54 cents a share against a report of 58 cents a share. Revenue of $3.68 billion beat the...
Market drop accelerates as tensions with Saudis rise
What started off as a minor pull back on worries over interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in light of yesterday’s release of minutes from the central bank’s September 26 meeting has turned into a more serious sell off on news that U.S. Treasury...
Fed’s “footnotes” in yesterday’s minutes from the September meeting worry markets
Reading the fine print is good advice when it comes to minutes from meetings of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee too. So far today, October 18, the financial markets are in a slight retreat because of notes released yesterday along with the minutes of...
Last night Netflix soared on earnings and lower forward guidance didn’t count–today?
After the market close yesterday, October 16, Netflix (NFLX) announced third quarter earnings of 89 cents a share, a huge 21 cents a share above Wall Street projections. Revenues climbed 34% year over year to $4 billion against analyst estimates of $3.99 billion. The...
U.S. stocks gently slide but VIX “fear index” continues retreat
If the market were inclined to sell off today, it could have found plenty of reasons. Under the heading of one-off scary stuff, I’d put:Â Continued tensions between the Saudis and just about everyone else over allegations–which look to be true–that...
Stocks hold most of last hour’s gains–and that’s important
An extremely volatile day–but the market held most of its gains into the close–and that’s important if you’re trying to figure out whether we’ve seen the last (for a while, at least) of this week’s selling. Let’s take a look...
Market reaction to big bank earnings not good way to start earnings season
Earnings from Citibank (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), and Wells Fargo (WFC looked solid this morning but the more the market thought about them the more disappointed it got. The Financial Sector Select SPDR ETF (XLF) was up 1.6% in the early going but as of 2:30 p.m. New...
What’s the opposite of a “Goldilocks” market?
A Big Bad Wolf market? A Sauron market? An Evil Stepmother market? The reaction to this morning’s inflation report suggests me might need a name for this kind of market. The worry, my worry, going into today’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report...
Tomorrow’s inflation numbers are important after today’s rout
At 3:30 p.m. New York time the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down a big 2.39% or 632 points. The Standard & Poor’s 500 was lower by 2.55%. The NASDAQ Composite Index fell 3.16%. (The S&P 500 closed down 3.29%. The Dow was lower by 832 points or...
Oil sells off as Hurricane Michael goes from “rumor” to “fact”
Today’s drop in oil prices looks to me to be a classic buy on the rumor sell on the fact trade. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate dropped 2.81% today to $72.85. International benchmark Brent crude fell 2.68% to $82.72 a barrel. Yesterday oil moved up as...
Oil moves higher today on Hurricane Michael, IEA supply warning
U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 0.7% today to close at $74.81 a barrel. International benchmark Brent crude rose 1.23% to $84.94 a barrel. The International Energy Agency warned of what it termed a “risky situation; the oil markets are...
International Monetary Fund cuts global growth estimates
Just what we need: More worries about global growth. Last night the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its forecast for global economic growth to 3.7% in 2018 and 2019. In its last forecast three months ago the IMF had projected that the global economy would grow...
Why Nektar is extremely oversold right now
The longs and the shorts continue to battle over Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR.) Right now the shorts have the best of that fight. No contest. The shares of this biotech fell another 1.24% today to close at $51.71. A little more than a month ago they were at $68.49. But I...
Markets decide they have nothing to fear except Treasury auctions, Italian budget, and U.S.-China trade war
Actually, considering the list of fears today, it’s kind of remarkable that the U.S. stock market hasn’t fallen farther. (The U.S. bond market is closed for the Columbus Day holiday.) In the EuroZone the confrontation between the Italian government and the...U.S. trade deficit climbs in August; record deficit with China and Mexico
The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services widened in August by 6.4% to $53.2 billion from $50 billion in July. That’s the biggest trade deficit in six months. The trade deficit with China rose to a record $38.6 billion from $36.8 billion in July. The trade...
“Odd” job numbers this morning for September but job market still strong
The economy added only 134,000 new jobs in September–probably a result of Hurricane Florence. But a huge revision to August and July job gains more than offset the weak current month. Economists surveyed surveyed by Briefing.com had projected the economy would...
Bond market takes a bite out of stocks today
The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose another basis point today, after climbing yesterday, to 3.19%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury climbed to 2.88%, up 4 basis points. A lower than expected report on initial claims for unemployment helped fuel the climb in yields....
Lions Gate Entertainment climbs again on Tuesday, October 2
Investors and traders are sure acting like they believe the Hollywood studio will be an acquisition target–soon–by one of the companies engaged in the heated battle to gain traction in the market for streaming media. The speculation right now points to...
Watch out! Oil prices look to be running away from OPEC/Russia controlWatch out! Oil prices look to be running away from OPEC/Russia control
Russia and Saudi Arabia have opened the taps, pumping an extra 1 million barrels a day of oil, and the two countries are making a big show of saying that they could do even more. But the oil market doesn’t seem to care and oil prices keep climbing. As of 11:30...
Buying Naspers in my Jubak Picks Portfolio
As I wrote in my Special Report: “10 Picks for the Emerging Markets Bounce,” (on my subscription JubakAm.com site) I’m adding Naspers (NPSNY) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio. It’s unlikely that you know much about this South African Internet...
Wall Street sees a Trump administration trade strategy: Let’s all gang up on China
Today Wall Street and trade analysts are saying that they see a grand strategy in the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade deal announced yesterday, in the trade deal with South Korea, and in negotiations with Japan and the European Union. The goal, this analysis says, is to put...
Buying Tencent Holdings for my Jubak Picks Portfolio
Today (or tomorrow morning, actually, October 2) I’m adding Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) to my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio. (The stock is already a member of my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio. As I wrote in my Special Report: 10 Picks for the Emerging Markets...
China’s economy continued to slow in September so Shanghai stocks moved up
On Saturday the Chinese government and private surveys released more numbers showing that the country’s economy was slowing. In September growth in China’s manufacturing sector stalled after 15 months of expansion, according to the Caixin/Market...
Mortgage rates and odds of December interest rate increase climb after Fed meeting
Yesterday meeting of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee ended with the committee raising the short-term Fed Funds benchmark rate 25 basis points and signaling an intention of raising rates again in December and then three more times in 2019. Yesterday...
Fed raises interest rates, locks in December increase, signals 3 moves in 2019
No surprise on a September interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve today–but some very aggressive signals on policy into 2019. The 25 basis point increase today raised the Fed Funds rate to a target of 2% to 2.25%. The economy remains solid; Â job growth...
Oil is a story today, but Treasury market is “the” story
Oil prices are up again this morning with the U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate ahead 0.21% to $72.23 a barrel as of noon New York time. International benchmark Brent has gained 1.02% to $82.03 a barrel. But “the” story today, I’d argue, is the...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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