November 28, 2018 @ 6:52 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
Sometimes the market hears what it wants to hear and then storms higher (or lower) on what is little more than a hint. In the short run that doesn’t much matter since the oftentimes huge gains are real and investors can and do take them to the bank. In the...
November 27, 2018 @ 7:30 pm | Breaking News, IONS, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Update |
It’s been a wild 2018 for Jubak Picks portfolio stock Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS.) Right now, though, the shares are on an upward trend. That’s likely to continue with the company looking at a strong research presentation at the December 1-4 meeting of...
November 26, 2018 @ 8:07 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
On December 13 the European Central Bank will decide whether to cap its $2.9 trillion program of bond buying as planned. The bank had decided that Europe’s economy was strong enough for the central bank to wind down its purchases of bonds that have kept interest...
November 26, 2018 @ 7:54 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
Nothing will be as important this week to the financial markets as the meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping during the November 30-December 1 summit of the Group of 20 in Buenos Aires. Ahead of the weekend meeting days when the...
November 21, 2018 @ 12:25 pm | Breaking News |
Do all your favorite things with your family–bicker over politics, watch too much sports, forget the name of your youngest cousin–and give thanks for all we have. I’ll be back posting on Monday.
November 20, 2018 @ 7:57 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
If you own any of the big technology stocks that led the U.S. higher in the first eight months of 2018, the losses over the last six weeks sure make this feel like a bear market. Remember that the classical definition of a bear market is a drop from the high of 20% or...
November 20, 2018 @ 7:46 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
The hope among some in the Wall Street crowd was that today’s earnings reports from retailers such as Target (TGT) and Kohl’s (KSS) –and especially guidance for the Christmas shopping quarter to come–would end the plunge in the U.S. stock...
November 19, 2018 @ 7:11 pm | Breaking News, Volatility |
For this short holiday trading week, I’m expecting volatility in asset classes that range from oil to stocks to the U.S. dollar, as traders and investors try to figure out how to “price in” a metric ton of macro uncertainty scheduled for the next...
November 19, 2018 @ 6:58 pm | Breaking News, Sell, Update, Volatility |
Today Apple (AAPL) fell 3.96%. Facebook (FB) was down 5.72%. Amazon (AMZN) lost 5.09%. Netflix (NFLX) tumbled 5.45%. The big technology stocks that led the market up to historic highs are leading this fall off on a combination of general market nervousness and...
November 16, 2018 @ 4:41 pm | Breaking News |
The Fed is sounding less aggressive about raising interest rates in 2019. Today, Friday, November 16, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida said that the Federal Reserve has to factor the possibility that the global economy is slowing into its decision on how...
November 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm | Breaking News |
This is important–if very, very speculative–if you’re trying to figure out if OPEC will cut production by enough to end the oil bear market when it holds its regular meeting on December 6. Today Reuters is reporting that Saudi Arabia is extremely...
November 14, 2018 @ 7:03 pm | Breaking News |
Oil prices are up today with U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate ahead 2.07% to $56.84 a barrel as of 11:30 a.m. in New York. International benchmark Brent crude has gained 2.23% to $66.93 a barrel. Both prices remain below the psychologically important $60 a...
November 13, 2018 @ 7:13 pm | Breaking News |
Oil prices went into free fall today, continuing the bear market in the commodity. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate fell 7.73% on the day to $55.30 a barrel. International benchmark Brent dropped 7.05% to $65.18 a barrel. Yesterday oil had rallied on news out of...
November 12, 2018 @ 5:49 pm | BABA, Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio |
The 10th annual Singles’ Day sales frenzy on November 11 resulted in a new record at China’s Alibaba (BABA) for one-day sales of $213.5 billion yuan ($30.7 billion.) This year merchandise sales for the world’s largest off-line and on-line shopping...
November 9, 2018 @ 6:35 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
I’ve written more than once about my conviction–and consequent worry–that we’re headed for a global credit crunch sometime in the next three to four years. I’m looking for the kind of Minsky Moment that sees financial markets go into...
November 9, 2018 @ 6:25 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
The 3.1% year over year growth in average hourly wages reported for October is, by itself, enough to convince the Federal Reserve that an increase in inflation, long awaited with concern, is visible on the horizon. Today’s jump in the Producer Price Index (PPI)...
November 8, 2018 @ 7:31 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, PXD, Update |
On Monday, after the close of the New York market, Permian Basin oil shale power Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) reported third quarter earnings of $2.07 a share, 39 cents a share above the Wall Street consensus projection. Revenue climbed 112.2% year over year to...
November 7, 2018 @ 7:25 pm | Breaking News |
To mangle Tolstoy: “All one-party Congresses are alike; each divided Congress is divided in its own way.” Today the U.S. stock market is in love with yesterday’s election results. Those results removed uncertainty. Eliminated the chance–slight though it...
November 6, 2018 @ 5:53 pm | Breaking News |
Remember last week when markets got all optimistic at the possibility that U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping would be able to hammer out an end to the U.S.-China trade deal when they meet at the Group of 20 meeting in Buenos Aires on...
November 6, 2018 @ 5:40 pm | Breaking News, Buy, IWM, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
In my Special Report “How to Protect Our Portfolio Without Selling Your Portfolio” (available to subscribers to my JubakAM.com site) I made the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) my third Portfolio Protection Pick. Today I’m adding it to my Jubak Picks...
November 5, 2018 @ 7:54 pm | AAPL, Breaking News, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Update, Volatility |
Let’s see. You’re a company running into serious global headwinds in a maturing (or mature market) that are raising huge doubts about your ability to increase unit sales quarter to quarter for your core product. You: a) Grimly admit that unit sales are...
November 2, 2018 @ 7:53 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
Part–but certainly only part–of the weakness in U.S. stock prices in October came from the blackout period on companies buying back their own shares. Many companies have self-declared buyback blackout periods running from a couple of weeks before the...
November 2, 2018 @ 7:38 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
News reports that President Donald Trump has ordered staff to prepared a potential trade offer ahead of his talks with China’s president Xi Jinping on November 30-December 1 sent Asia markets and currencies soaring in the overnight session. U.S. stocks and bonds...
November 1, 2018 @ 7:48 pm | Breaking News, Buy, CRM, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
My apologies that I didn’t get this post up last night but I had a short, strange, and very scary attack of vertigo at the end of my working day and missed that deadline. Everything seems to be fine today so here’s the post. When I added Salesforce.com...
November 1, 2018 @ 7:38 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
This morning at least a tweet from President Donald Trump is the most important factor moving U.S. stocks higher. In his tweet President Trump said he had had a productive conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping on trade. “Those discussions are moving...
October 30, 2018 @ 7:41 pm | Breaking News, FB, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Update |
It really, really helps if lots of traders and investors hate your stock going into earnings. Then you can, as Facebook (FB) did today, announce quarterly results that fall short on revenue ($13.73 billion versus consensus projections for $13.8 billion), and daily...
October 30, 2018 @ 7:05 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
Amazing what important financial news can get pushed off the front page these days. On Monday the drop of even more U.S. indexes into correction territory and reports that the White House was teeing up new tariffs on another $250 billion in Chinese goods pushed truly...
October 29, 2018 @ 7:39 pm | Breaking News, Volatility, You May Have Missed |
Monday, October 29, started off with a technology-led rally. As of 10:04 a.m. New York time the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 1.81% and the technology-heavy NASDAQ Composite was higher by 1.75%. And then Bloomberg reported that the Trump administration was...
October 29, 2018 @ 6:41 pm | ALV, Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Update, You May Have Missed |
Before the market open today, Autoliv (ALV) delivered disappointing earnings for the third quarter. But the stock still climbed on news that China is considering cutting the tax on car purchases to 5% from 10% in an effort to stimulate the country’s auto market...
October 29, 2018 @ 6:34 pm | Breaking News, Dividend Income Portfolio, GE, Sell, You May Have Missed |
General Electric (GE) is scheduled to finally report third quarter earnings tomorrow. Wall Street is looking for earnings per share of 20 cents for the quarter on revenue of $29.94 billion. I’m expecting that new CEO Lawrence Culp, the former CEO of Jubak Picks...