Infineon’s acquisition of Cypress will create new No. 1 among auto chip suppliers
I added shares of Infineon (IFNNY) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio on May 7. The chip maker hasn’t exactly been tearing up the track since then, scoring a 26.59% loss. But on June 3 Infineon acquired another chip maker Cypress Semiconductor (CY) for $10.1 billion in...
U.S. markets counting on visit from Goldilocks tomorrow
Tomorrow, Friday, June 7, brings the May jobs report. Right now economists surveyed by Bloomberg are looking for the economy to add a robust 175,000 jobs with unemployment holding steady at 3.6% (as 49-year low) and average hourly wages growing at a very positive 3.2%...
Buying this Vanguard Treasury ETF on Monday for my ETF Portfolio–and for my Jubak Picks and Volatility portfolios
Today I sold the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) out of my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio on my JubakAM.com and JugglingWithKnives.com subscription sites. And today I’m replacing it in that portfolio with the Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury ETF (VGIT). Now...
Selling Emerging Markets ETF out of my ETF Portfolio on my subscription JugglingWithKnives and JubakAM sites on Monday
In an ideal world, I would have finished my Special Report on the Crisis in Global Capitalism on my subscription JubakAM.com site by now so I could place this sell–and the coming buy of a Treasury ETF–in the context of that crisis. But this isn’t an...
Manufacturing sector contracts more than expected in May in ISM survey–but, surprising pundits, market doesn’t fold
Going into Monday, June 3, the consensus on Wall Street was that if the Institute for Supply Management’s Purchasing Managers Index for manufacturing fell more than expected, U.S. stocks would follow in a rout. A lower than expected reading on the index would...
The importance of the 5% tariff that President Trump just slapped on Mexico is way bigger than the number suggests
It’s only 5%, Wall Street is saying today in what clearly sounds like an effort to convince itself when investors really know better. That unconvincing “happy talk” is why the Standard & Poor’s 500 index was down only 1.24% at the close...
Today it’s all trade war news all the time
Sometimes it’s better to just weigh the news rather than try to analyze it. And that certainly seems to fit today’s market action. Even though the major U.S. indexes managed slight gains as of the close today–the Standard & Poor’s 500, for...
Bond traders test the Powell Put today
U.S. stocks dropped again today with the Standard & Poor’s 500 index closed down another 0.69% to 2783.03. U.S. Treasury bonds rallied with the price of the 10-yer bond up enough to push the yield down to 2.21% for a drop in yield of 26 basis points in the...
16 months on the S&P 500 with no gain–what’s it mean?
I have my theories about this–which I’ll post tomorrow, Tuesday, May 28 in a Special Report on my subscription JubakAM.com site –and the facts certainly deserve an explanation. About 16 months ago on January 26, 2018 the Standard & Poor’s...
No news is good news so far this weekend
U.S. financial markets are closed today for Memorial Day. (Can’t help but think of my Dad who climbed telephone poles to string wire during World War II. “While they shot at me,” he would say with a mixture of surprise and outrage. I’m sure you...
Further lowering China exposure in my portfolios
This morning Wall Street is buzzing with talk that the U.S.-China trade war could stretch on to 2035. I think there’s just about no chance of that. But we aren’t looking at the quick resolution of the dispute that seemed possible just 10 days ago. And we...
Stocks routed on shift in trade war sentiment
You’re entitled to feel whiplashed today. Just a few days ago, on May 16, stocks rallied on speculation that trade talks would resume relatively quickly and that the United States and China, rhetoric and tariff increases aside, would find a way within weeks to...
Oil and oil stocks take double hit today
The combination of a big build in U.S. crude inventories this week and fears that the escalating U.S.-China trade war will slow global economic growth (and global oil demand) took a big whack out of oil prices and oil stocks today. The U.S. Energy Information...
The next escalation in the U.S. trade war looks to 5 more Chinese technology companies
The Trump administration is considering applying Huawei-level sanctions to five more Chinese technology companies in the video surveillance sector including Megvii, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology, Meiya Pico and Iflytek. The sanctions...
Federal Reserve minutes say, No interest rate move “for some time”
Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s April 30-May 1 meeting showed officials at the U.S. central bank inclined toward patience and to keeping the current wait-and-see policy in place “for some time.” Adding to the dovish tone of the minutes, many Fed...
So much for any infrastructure spending bill from Washington
President Donald Trump stormed out of a meeting with Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Democratic Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer saying that he would not work with them on an infrastructure package (or other bipartisan legislation including an effort to...
Down yesterday, up today–traders buy the chip stocks they sold yesterday on Huawei headlines
Stocks–especially chip stocks–have rallied strongly today on headlines saying that the Department of Commerce has granted a 90-day license for U.S. companies to do business with China’s Huawei Technologies in order to service existing networks. This...
Chipmakers begin to cut supplies for China’s Huawei and lead U.S. stocks down today
Call it a secondary effect of the U.S.-China trade war but it’s still clearly taking a bite out of the shares of U.S. chip makers today. Last week the Trump administration added sanctions on China’s Huawei Technologies that would prevent the company from buying U.S....
Cisco earnings on May 16 powered the market; Cisco gained 6.66% on the day and another 0.75% today, May 17
Yesterday, May 16, earnings from Cisco Systems (CSCO) and Wal-Mart (CSCO) before the open powered U.S. stocks higher to start the day.So what did Cisco say? (I reported on Wal-Mart in a post yesterday.) Cisco reported earnings per share of 78 cents for the...
Beijing says, If the U.S. won’t play nice, China won’t play at all
The Chinese government is using the country’s official media to signal that it isn’t interested in resuming trade talks with the United States under a threat of higher 25% tariffs on another $320 billion in Chinese exports to the United States. And to make...
China warns that U.S. sanctions against Huawei could endanger trade talks
It’s not even remotely a surprise. A day after the Trump administration declared a national emergency in order to product U.S. telecommunications for foreign antagonists–with a clear eye on China and Chinese companies such as Huawei–the Chinese...
Nvidia reports after the close today–watch to see if it misses on earnings to create a buying opportunity
Nvidia (NVDA) will report first quarter earnings today, May 16, after the close of New York markets. Wall Street is expecting the company to report earnings of 81 cents a share–which would be a drop of 60.5% year over year–on revenue of $2.195 billion, a...
The market is dangerously dependent on the Powell Put from the Fed
Right now if the market gets bad news on the economy it goes up. Today, May 15, for example, the S&P 500 closed up 0.78% even though both U.S. and Chinese retail sales disappointed for April. Right now if the market gets bad news on oil supplies, it goes up, as...Negative economic numbers from both China and United States this morning
I’d give the edge to China in the “Whose news is worse?” sweepstakes this morning. For April China’s retail sales rose 7.2% year over year–good news except that economists were projecting an 8.6% increase and that March showed 8.7% year...
Recent weakness good opportunity to pick up Disney for patient, long-term investors
Every so often the calendar and the movie release schedule give patient long-term investors a chance to buy Disney (DIS) on some mild weakness. That’s where we are now. The stock pulled back slightly after the company announced first quarter earnings on May 9 of...
LNG from Cheniere dead in the sights of trade war with China–short term I’d think about selling; long term I’d just hang on
LNG (liquified natural gas) from Cheniere Energy (LNG) is one of the U.S. exports most in danger in the newest round of the U.S.-China trade war. Reflective of that the stock was down 3.57%, or $2.42 a share, as of 2 p.m. New York time, to $65.45. That has taken the...Market falls as China retaliates for U.S. tariff hike on Friday
On Friday, the Trump administration raised tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese exports to the United States to 25% from 10%. The move, the administration said, was in response to Chinese efforts to walk back provisions the country had agreed to, according to the White...
Tariffs up, talks end, Chinese retaliation next
Whatever the ultimate end point of the trade talks between the United State and China, the next step is almost certainly the announcement of retaliatory measures by China in the wake of the Trump administration’s decision to raise tariffs on $200 billion of...
U.S. stock market wants to believe U.S.-China talks are “constructive”
The Standard & Poor’s 500 was slightly in the green at the close today at 2881.40. That marked a big turnaround from earlier in the session. As of 11 a.m. New York time the index had dipped to 2826.29. Today it was all about China and the trade/tariff talks...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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