April 17, 2020 @ 7:18 pm | Breaking News |
China’s gross domestic product contracted by 6.8% from a year ago in the first quarter. Economists had projected a 6.0% drop. The decline was the worst since the government began releasing quarterly GDP numbers in 1992. Other numbers in today’s data dump...
April 16, 2020 @ 7:17 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, NJDCY |
No, the problems in the Chinese auto industry–a big customer for Nidec’s (NJDCY) small motors and electric drive trains–didn’t suddenly spike and cut Nidec’s share price in half. The Japanese company executed a 2/1 split on April 9. I...
April 16, 2020 @ 7:12 pm | Breaking News |
5.245 million more people filed initial claims for unemployment in the week ended April 11, the Labor Department reported this morning. That was down from the prior week’s 6.615 million (revised upwards from an initial report of 6.606 million.) But it still...
April 16, 2020 @ 7:06 pm | Breaking News, TSM |
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) beat analyst estimates for the first quarter, the company announced today. Net profit almost doubled to $3.9 billion on $10.31 billion in revenue. That amounts to a 91% increase from the March quarter of 2019. Analysts had...
April 15, 2020 @ 7:57 pm | Breaking News |
U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate fell below $20 a barrel, the lowest price since 2002, after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a huge jump of almost 20 million barrels in U.S. crude inventories. At 1:00 P.m. New York time West Texas...
April 14, 2020 @ 7:05 pm | Breaking News, Buy Hold Sell |
In the short run rationality is not an especially adaptive trait for an investor. Remember that. Take today’s market for example. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) delivered very sobering news on how the coronavirus and the coronavirus shutdown of big...
April 13, 2020 @ 7:54 pm | Breaking News |
As of 1 p.m. New York time the Standard & Poor’s 500 is down 1.88% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is off 2.14%. The NASDSQ Composite is lower by 0.79% and the Russell 2000 small cap index has tumbled 2.80%. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)...
April 13, 2020 @ 7:51 pm | Breaking News |
This take from Goldman Sachs pretty much sums up the oil market’s reaction to Sunday’s agreement among OPEC+, the United States, Canada, Brazil, and various and sundry G20 oil producers to cut what could be generously calculated as 14.7 million barrels a...
April 10, 2020 @ 7:13 pm | Breaking News |
I opened my online brokerage account yesterday to see an endless stream of news briefs about Wall Street analyst cuts to earnings estimates for the first quarter earnings season that begins next week with earnings from JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) on...
April 9, 2020 @ 7:16 pm | Breaking News |
Add Attorney General William Barr to voices in the Trump administration, including President Donald Trump, pushing to “re-open” the U.S. economy sooner rather than later. The Attorney General, in an interview with Fox News’ Laura Ingraham, said some...
April 9, 2020 @ 7:10 pm | Breaking News |
Saying that the U.S. economy is deteriorating “with alarming speed,” Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell unveiled a new Fed program to supply more than $2 trillion in new loans to small, medium and large companies as well as cash-strapped states and...
April 9, 2020 @ 7:06 pm | Breaking News |
Just too much potentially market-moving news this morning. I count three stories in that category and it’s only noon. But let’s begin. 6.61 million Americans filed initial claims for unemployment in the week ended April 4, the Labor Department reported...
April 8, 2020 @ 7:22 pm | Breaking News, DIS, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Volatility |
You know that Disney (DIS) is really serious about the likelihood of continued social distancing measures disrupting movie going for months when it delays the release date of Black Widow, once intended as the tentpole of its summer schedule. Black Widow has been...
April 8, 2020 @ 7:16 pm | Breaking News |
Last night President Donald Trump told Sean Hannity on his Fox News show that his administration is planning to “reopen” the U.S. economy. “We’re looking at the concept where we open sections of the country and we’re also looking at the concept where you...
April 7, 2020 @ 6:31 pm | Breaking News |
The U.S. stock markets are closed on Friday, April 10, for Good Friday. That sets up a short week and a long weekend–which would be likely to produce higher than normal volume and volatility on Thursday anyway as traders and investors bought and sold to position...
April 6, 2020 @ 7:32 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, URI |
This sell follows the same logic as my immediately prior sell of Vulcan Materials. Last week House Speaker Nancy Pelosi threw in the towel on any near-term chance for a big infrastructure spending package. The horrific jobs numbers had convinced her, she said, that...
April 6, 2020 @ 7:23 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, Sell, VMC |
Last week House Speaker Nancy Pelosi threw in the towel on any near-term chance for a big infrastructure spending package. The horrific jobs numbers had convinced her, she said, that sending more aid to unemployed workers and small businesses took a higher priority....
April 6, 2020 @ 7:15 pm | Breaking News |
A rally in European stocks that took the STOXX 600 index up 3% in morning trading has extended to New York. At noon New York Time today, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 5.65% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead 5.66%. The NASDAQ Composite had...
April 3, 2020 @ 7:23 pm | Breaking News, ITUB, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
When I sold Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CMWAY) a few moments ago I wrote “I’ve only got a small bit of exposure to the global banking system and, frankly, I think it’s past time to get rid of even that exposure. We’re in one of those...
April 3, 2020 @ 7:17 pm | Breaking News, CMWAY, Dividend Income Portfolio |
I’ve only got a small bit of exposure to the global banking system and, frankly, I think it’s past time to get rid of even that exposure. We’re in one of those banking sector moments where we know that banks are loaded up with assets that can’t...
April 3, 2020 @ 7:12 pm | Breaking News |
The theory was that Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) would actually benefit from the coronavirus pandemic as consumers stocked up at the drugstore chain in preparation for the coronavirus shelter-in-place orders now becoming common in the United States and Europe. But...
April 3, 2020 @ 7:06 pm | Breaking News |
The U.S economy lost 701,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced this morning. The unemployment rate rose to 4.4% in March from 3.5%, a 50-year low, in February. The survey behind the numbers was completed by March 12 so it didn’t capture the...
April 2, 2020 @ 7:47 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Picks Portfolio, PANW |
The problem isn’t that there’s no good news out of individual companies. It’s just that good news on specific stocks doesn’t count for much in a bear market when everything moves together in a single direction–most usually down. Take Palo...
April 2, 2020 @ 7:37 pm | Breaking News, EMR, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
I’m using today’s bounce to sell Emerson Electric (EMR) out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio today. The shares are up 3.54% today. I think Emerson Electric is a stock that I’d like to own for the long-term if the short-term didn’t look so negative...
April 2, 2020 @ 7:31 pm | Breaking News |
I’m finding it hard to wrap my head around exactly how bad the economy is and how fast the collapse has been. Today’s report of 6.65 million new claims for unemployment for the week ended March 28 exploded through the record number of new claims set just...
April 1, 2020 @ 6:41 pm | Breaking News |
Remember last week. Stocks rallied despite the news that initial claims for unemployment hit a record high of 3.28 million. The markets decided to look past the unemployment number and focus on the positive in the passage of a $2.2 trillion coronavirus rescue bill by...
April 1, 2020 @ 6:37 pm | Breaking News |
Not much mystery to today’s selling. Investors and traders were trimming positions–or more–ahead of tomorrow’s report on initial claims for unemployment. Last week brought a record 3.28 million new claims for unemployment as the coronavirus and...
March 31, 2020 @ 7:19 pm | Breaking News, Jubak Top 50 Portfolio, MIDD, Sell |
I love this stock. It’s been in the long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio since May 3, 2013. And someday I think the company’s strategy of buying smaller commercial and domestic kitchen equipment companies and then super-charging their sales by giving them access...
March 31, 2020 @ 7:08 pm | Breaking News, GM, Jubak Picks Portfolio |
Automakers are scheduled to report first quarter sales numbers tomorrow with Ford Motor (F), Fiat Chrysler, and General Motors (GM) all expected to snow big declines. And the next quarter looks even worse. “There are basically no U.S. auto sales right now,” Adam...
March 31, 2020 @ 7:02 pm | Breaking News |
The first tankers in what looks like a long fleet of tankers are loading now in Saudi Arabia on their way to Europe and the United States in April. The Saudi government looks to be making good on its announced increase in output to a record 12.3 million barrels a day...