Putin strikes back at Western sanctions; stock market expects more as cybersecurity stocks soar (and I’m adding SentinelOne to my Jubak Picks Portfolio today)
You didn’t expect Russian President Vladimir Putin to just shrug at Western sanctions that now include theU.S. Treasury clamping serious restrictions on Russia’s central bank, did you? Putin has banned all Russian residents from transferring hard currency...
PCE inflation accelerates in January but not enough to spook markets
The Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, rose at a year over year 6.1% rate in January. That tops the 5.8% annual rate in December. Economists had been projecting a 6% increase for January. The core PCE...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick Pioneer Natural Resources
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and sixth YouTube video “Quick Pick Pioneer Natural Resources” went up today. This week my Quick Pick is Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD). I don’t like...
Hey, remember the Fed! New inflation numbers tomorrow, Friday, morning
I know it’s easy to forget that there’s other market moving news on the horizon (besides what the next day will bring in the Russian invasion of Ukraine) but tomorrow, Friday, February 25, the government will report the Personal Consumption Expenditures...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is the first in the next generation of energy wars
Oil and other fossil fuels aren’t going to go quietly. And it’s extremely unlikely that the countries whose global power is predicated on oil are going to give up that power easily either. From this viewpoint, the Russian invasion of Ukraine is the first...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Russia sanctions and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and-fifth YouTube video “Russia sanctions and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases” went up today. So how will the seemingly imminent...
Next inflation report due Friday and it’s not looking good
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the inflation index that the Federal Reserve uses, is projected at an annual rate of 6% in January, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The core rate, which excludes food and fuels, is forecast to...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Trend of the Week Electric Vehicle Charging Stocks
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and fourth YouTube video “Trend of the Week: Electric Vehicle Charging Stocks” went up today. This week I’m talking about electric vehicle charging...
So how big a deal is the Russian invasion of Ukraine to the financial markets?
Let me start off by making something very clear–the Russian de facto invasion of Ukraine is a very big deal for the people of Ukraine, the separatists regions, and the countries of Eastern Europe. I think we’re looking at the potential for thousands of...
I’m adding Alcoa to my Jubak Picks Portfolio as a hedge against Ukraine risk and as a commodity boom play
Today I’m adding shares of Alcoa (AA) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio. At 3:10 p.m. today, February 18, the shares were up 2.01% on the day. My target price for the shares is $93. The pick is a short-term hedge against sanctions against Russia if the Ukraine/Russia...
For investors hedging the Ukraine/Russia conflict, here’s my best estimate of what’s next
If you believe as I do that one of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s goals in igniting the current conflict in Ukraine was to attempt to use Europe’s dependency on Russia natural gas to drive a wedge among NATO members, the most recent developments make a...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick Alcoa
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and third YouTube video “QuickPick Alcoa” went up today. This week, my Quick Pick is Alcoa (AA). Like in other commodities, with aluminum we are seeing a...
Initial claims for unemployment unexpectedly inch higher
New jobless claims rose last week, ending a three-week streak of improvements. For the week ended Feburary 12, workers filed 248,000 initial claims for unemployment. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg were expecting 218,000 new claims. In the prior week workers filed a...
Please watch my new YouTube video : Steady vs. hot hands
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and second YouTube video “Strong vs. hot hands” went up today. Hello there! Today I’m looking at a few stocks that exemplify what most experienced...
Nvidia beats on earnings and revenue after the close–stock trades flat after pre-earnings run
After the close today, Nvidia (NVDA) reported fourth quarter earnings of $1.32 a share (versus analyst projections of $1.22) and revenue of $7.6 billion (versus expectations for $7.42 billion). As of 4:45 the stock has trading down $1.09 in the after-hours market. In...
Federal Reserve’s January 26 minutes already outdated by inflation, jobs news
Back on January 26–a date so far in the past as to be positively neolithic if judged by changes in financial data–according to minutes of that central bank meeting related today, February 16, Federal Reserve officials concluded that they would start...
Generac pops after earnings and guidance for 2022
Shares of Generac Holdings (GNRC), a maker of backup power systems, are up 14.05% at 3:45 p.m. New York time today, February 16, after the company reported fourth quarter earnings of $2.51 a share after the market close on Tuesday. Revenue hit $1.06 billion. Wall...
Get used to it: Today I was an investing genius; yesterday I was an investing idiot; tomorrow?
Yesterday I owned the wrong stocks. Ford Motor (F) fell another 0.51%. Lithium producer Albemarle (ALB) dropped 1.39%. Deere (DE) gave up 1.38%. Today I owned the right stocks. Ford was up 3.55%. Albemarle gained 6.02%. Deere picked up 1.59%. And other stocks in my...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Trend of the week Lidar
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My hundred and first YouTube video “Trend of the week Lidar” went up today. This week’s trend of the week is Lidar, which is a light-based navigation technology (like...
Prelude to my Special Report (on my subscription JubakAM.com site) on a new core portfolio for a new market: 5 investing strategy conclusions if financial market history isn’t a reliable guide right now
Back on February 2, I wrote on my subscription JubakAM.com site (and on this site https://www.jubakpicks.com/the-limits-of-st…-guide-right-now/) “I just don’t think stock market history is a very reliable guide to the present and the near-term future right...
Please watch my new YouTube video: QuickPick Cummins Update
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth YouTube video “QuickPick Cummins Update” went up today. Welcome back to Quick Picks. I have another update this week, this time on Cummins (CMI), the maker...
Oil moves toward $95 a barrel on rising Ukraine war fears
International benchmark Brent crude jumped as much as 4.7% to $95 a barrel for the first time since 2014. Brent was up 23.68% and trading at $94.77 at 3 p.m. New York time Friday. U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate, which normally trades below Brent in price, was...
Please watch my YouTube video: 50 basis points in March because the Fed is scared not to
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My ninety-ninth YouTube video “50 basis points in March because the Fed is scared not to” went up today. This week, I’m predicting that the Fed will use...
CPI inflation comes in hotter than expected at 7.5%
CPI inflation climbed at a 7.5% annual rate in January, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this morning. That was above the 7.3% expected by economists surveyed by Bloomberg and a big jump from the 7.0% annual rate reported in December. The inflation number just...
Tomorrow’s a big day for inflation and interest rate increases from the Fed
Tomorrow, January 10, before the market open, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will announce the Consumer Price Index inflation for January. Right now economists surveyed by Bloomberg are expecting an annualized increase of 7.2% in inflation. That would be a significant...
Disney beats on revenue, earnings–and new streaming subscribers
So much for fears the Disney (DIS) would follow the disappointing course plotted by Netflix (NFLX) and report disappointing numbers for new subscriptions to its Disney Plus streaming service. For the December quarter, the company’s first quarter of fiscal 2022,...
Please watch my new YouTube video: QuickPick Xylem (Update)
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My ninety-seventh YouTube video “QuickPick Xylem Update” went up today. (Xylem is a member of my Jubak Picks Portfolio. The position is up 250% since inception on September...
Selling Amazon tomorrow–worrying signs in core e-commerce business
Investors have been really impressed by Amazon’s fourth quarter earnings report. And there were some impressive numbers in the report for the quarter. Amazon’s cloud services unit, AWS, saw revenue growth accelerate again to a 40% growth rate. Revenue...
Please watch my new YouTube video: “Why PayPal is a buy and Facebook isn’t”
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My ninety-sixth YouTube video “Why PayPal is a buy and Facebook isn’t” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. Here’s...Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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