Buying more Tencent ADRs for my portfolios
Quite a change in the color of the ink. I’ve owned China’s Tencent (the TCEHY ADRs), the world’s biggest computer game company, in my long-term 50 Stocks portfolio since January 3. 2022. I spent lot of 2024 looking at red ink in the position–and experiencing...
China stocks rallying on government stimulus plans–I’m buying iShares China FXI
Just because we’ve seen this page from the play book before and just because I’m skeptical about the long-term effects of this policy doesn’t mean I don’t want to own the China rally now. On Monday March 24, I added the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) to my Perfect...
Huge volume today but not much movement
Just five minutes before Wall Street’s close, the Standard & Poor’s 500 erased a slide that earlier in the session exceeded 1%. The index closed up 0.08% on the day. The NASDAQ Composite added 0.52%. The CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) dropped 2.63% to...
More tariffs, lots more tariffs, still on schedule forApril 2
The Washington Post is reporting today that White House aides are preparing new tariffs on most imports to be announced on April 2, laying the groundwork for an escalation in global tariffs that President Donald Trump has called “Liberation Day.” Through his first two...
Getting ahead of selling in this market is like playing Whac-a-mole–2 more sells
I’m selling Danaher (DHR) and RTX (RTX) out of my Jubak Picks and Dividend portfolios, respectively, in an attempt to get ahead of some of the likely fallout from policy moves by the Trump Administration. And in order to sit out as much of current market volatility as...
Trump criticizes the Fed’s decision to hold interest rates steady
That didn’t take long. Wednesday afternoon the Federal Reserve decided to keep its benchmark interest rate steady–no rate cut. Wednesday night President Donald Trump renewed his call for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates as he criticized the central...
Even the best retail stocks aren’t beating fears of a slowdown: I’m selling Walmart and Costco
When the avalanche is roaring down the hill, it really doesn’t matter if you’re wearing the best-rated snow boots. With fears of an economic slowdown punishing the market today, I think it’s more than time to sell my Jubak Picks positions in Walmart (WMT) and Costco...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Retail flashing red
Today’s video is Retail Flashing Red. In the past week we’ve seen a cascade of negative news from the retail sector. Macy’s announced projected comparable store sales would be “down slightly” for 2025, and Target expected flat comparable store...Buckle those seat belts–it’s going to be a bumpy two weeks
I see the beginning of two weeks of extraordinary volatility. Look what’s on deck. On Tuesday, March 4, President Donald Trump will give his first joint address to Congress–it’s not officially a State of the Union address because newly elected presidents don’t...
QQQ, which tracks NASDAQ tech stocks, closes below 50-day MA–2 days before NVDA earnings
The Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ), which tracks the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index (NDX), closed below its 50-day moving average on Monday for the first time in just over three weeks. The ETF was down another 0.83% as of 3:30 p.m. New York time on Tuesday. The ETF, The...
More bad news in another consumer sentiment survey
The Conference Board’s measure of consumer confidence fell this month by the most since August 2021. The Conference Board’s index fell 7 points in February to 98.3, marking the third straight decline, data released Tuesday showed. The figure was below all estimates in...
Finally some good news on inflation due this week
Economists expect the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure–due Friday–to cool to the slowest pace since June. But while I think markets will cheer, it’s too soon to look for any change from the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts. That will have...
Will Nvidia’s earnings this week move the market?
The earnings report of the week will be Nvidia’s (NVDA) report after the close on Wednesday, February 26. For the fiscal quarter ending January 2025, the consensus EPS forecast is $0.79. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $0.49. Analysts expect...
There’s more money in crypto, so the hacks are getting bigger
Stands to reason. With more money in crypto, the hacks are getting bigger. Brings to my mind, the quote attributed to famed bank robber Willie Sutton. Sutton is supposed to have said, when asked why he robbed banks: “I rob banks because that’s where the...
China readies antitrust probe of Apple
China’s antitrust watchdog, the State Administration for Market Regulation, is laying the groundwork for a potential probe into Apple’s (AAPL) app store policies and the fees it charges app developers. Apple policies under scrutiny include the cut of as much as 30% on...
Please watch my new YouTube video: The Fed is caught between a rock and a hard place
Today’s video: the Fed is between a rock and a hard place. Inflation has been stuck around 2.8% and the Fed would like to get it down to 2%. In January, the Fed paused on interest rates but Wall Street still hopes for two cuts in 2025. The March 19 meeting will...
AMD’s drop on huge revenue growth exemplifies risks in the tech sector
Yesterday, February 4, after the close of trading Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported record revenue growth for the fourth quarter. The chipmaker even reported growth in market share at the expense of rival Intel (INTC). Yet in after-hours reading the stock dropped...
Budget circus comes to Congress
I expect a two-ring (at least) circus this week on Capitol Hill as Congress confronts two years worth of budgets. By law, the President is required to submit a budget for the next fiscal year–in this case the 2026 fiscal year that begins on October 1...
Two sells before the tariffs start–more to come, I suspect
Stocks moved down slightly on Friday–with the Standard & Poor’s 500 off 0.50% and the NASDAQ Composite down 0.28%–as investors started to revise their belief that President Donald Trump wasn’t really serious about raising tariffs. And they’re down...
Wall Street still in denial on tariffs
Futures markets are substantially lower as U.S. stocks get ready to open. Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 were down 1.64% and NASDAQ futures were off 1.87%. But I still say that Wall Street is in denial about the full economic damage from President Donald...
Market is still looking for 2 rate cuts in 2025, CNBC survey says
We won’t get another update on the probable trajectory of Federal Reserve interest rate policy from the Fed itself until the central bank updates its Dot Plot projections at its March 19 meeting. But meanwhile, we have a survey from CNBC that shows a majority of...
As tech sells off in a rout, where’s the fear?
Don’t think traders and Wall Street market strategists haven’t noticed: on a day when AI stocks like Nvidia (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO) fell 17% each, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4%. Yes, Wall Street’s “fear gauge”—-the VIX—soared 20% the most since...
China’s DeepSeek news leads to AI stock rout–do you think AI stocks might have been overvalued?
News that DeepSeek a Chinese AI startup, had developed an open-source AI model that matched the performance of U.S. AI models from OpenAI, Alphabet, and Meta platforms at a fraction of the cost sent AI stocks reeling today, Monday, January 27. Nvidia (NVDA) shares...
This week the earnings parade moves into full march speed
This week it’s earnings, earnings, earnings. From the tech giants and more. And this week, we’ll discover three things. First, are tech company earnings as good as the market clearly expects. I think that with the exception of Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA) the...
Will there be any clues on the next rate cut from the Fed on Wednesday?
I expect Wednesday’s meeting of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee to be the big event of the week. Not because the Fed will do anything unexpected on interest rates. It won’t change its benchmark policy rate now at 4.25% to 4.50%. But because the Fed might...
Paul Krugman puts some numbers on the effects of Trump’s tariffs
Assuming that conventional economics still has some validity and that economic history has some predictive value, Paul Krugman, who won his 2008 Nobel-prize in economics for his work on international trading patterns, has put some numbers on the likely effects of the...
Apple’s iPhone sales dove in China for the December quarter
Sales of Apple’s iPhones dove 18.2% in China during the December quarter, according to independent research firm Counterpoint Research. The company’s flagship handsets, China’s top sellers a year earlier, relinquished the top spot to Huawei Technologies. Apple slipped...
Big market reaction on a tiny move in CPI inflation
As of noon New York time today, January 15, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was ahead 1.30%. The NASDAQ Composite and the small-cap Russell 2000 were both up 1.80% on the session. Today’s big moves come on relatively minor changes in inflation trends in this...
Tough road ahead for farmers and food commodity prices–I’m selling some farm stock positions
U.S. farmers harvested some of the largest corn and soybean crops in history this year. The timing couldn’t be much worse for farm incomes and commodity prices. And for shares of farm stocks. Big harvests weigh on crop prices because plentiful supply depresses prices....Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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