How bad will China’s Covid disaster be for stocks? The likely answer is very bad–sell Volkswagen and MGM
After swiftly abandoning its 0-Covid lockdown policy–without replacing it with anything resembling a national Covid protocol–China is facing a Covid disaster that could see more than 1 million deaths from the coronavirus in 2023. That would put...
What to sell in a Bear Market rally–and two sells for Monday, Omnicom and Alcoa
I ended my recent post “This looks like the Bear Market rally I’ve been waiting for” on my subscription JubakAM.com site by saying “Enjoy the ride but look to sell shares of companies that look most exposed to the return of recession/high...
The speculative money is alive and “well” during Bear Market rally days
Friday, June 17, was a modestly up day for most of the indexes. The Standard & Poor’s 500, for example, gained 0.22% and the NASDAQ was up a stronger 1.43%. (The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.13% on the day.) But you’d never know that the...
Please watch my new YouTube video: Three great summer trades get tricky
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and fourteenth YouTube video “Three great summer trades get tricky” went up today. Special extra video this week! Ahead of tomorrow’s Quick Pick (no,...
A stock isn’t a buy just because it’s cheaper than it was–Lessons from Disney on when to buy on the dip
After a huge rally like we’re had this year, it’s easy to fall into one of the most common buy on the dip traps. Just because a stock is cheaper than it was, it’s not necessarily a bargain. There’s nothing that says a stock has to return to its...
Federal Reserve’s Powell stops calling inflation “transitory” and stocks tank–except for Apple
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell retired the word “transitory” to describe stubbornly high inflation in testimony today in front of the Senate Banking Committee. And, Powell continued, the Fed might accelerate the pace at which it is winding down its purchase of...
Apple, Amazon, Alphabet,Adobe, Applied Materials and other big techs rally hard–rest of stocks not so much
Today, Monday November 29, it’s a tale of two bounces from Friday’s big sell off. Technology stocks and especially big technology stocks are up big. At the close in New York Applied Materials was up 5.53%. Adobe (ADBE) was ahead 3.83%. Nvidia (NVDA) was...
Watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick MGM Resorts International
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My sixty-second YouTube video “Quick Pick MGM Resorts International” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
How much of a hedge do you need–and how much can you afford
I try to use big up and (especially) down days in the stock market to stress test my portfolio. One of the things I look to learn from a high volatility down days is how the hedges that I’ve put on to protect my portfolio work under big stress. So, for example,...
A trend? Retail sales fall in July but lots of one-off events
Retail sales dropped 1.1% in July, the Commerce Department reported today, August 17. Sales of furniture, sporting goods, building materials, cars and auto parts were all down strongly in the month. Sales at non-store retailers, which include e-commerce sales, dropped...
Surprising growth in retail June retail sales not enough to keep stocks from falling
U.S. retail sales surged 18.0% in June from June 2020, the Commerce Department reported today. Demand for goods remained strong but spending is clearly shifting back to services. Stocks fell despite the good news with economic recovery and post-vaccine recovery stocks...
Today the market looks a lot like “before the Fed Wednesday”
Remember way back at the beginning of last week? That is before the Federal Reserve signaled on Wednesday that more of the members of its Open Market Committee were thinking about raising interest rates sooner than previously expected. Re-opening stocks, value stocks,...
These are the markets that try portfolio’s souls
As I write this on Friday, May 14, at 3:25 New York time, the Standard & Poor’s 500 has climbed 1.61% for the day to 4178.91. That puts it within 56 points of the close for the index of 4232.60. So after all panic in the early part of the week, the index is...
Watch my new YouTube video “6 picks for next week’s earnings flood”
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The twentieth YouTube video “6 picks for next week’s earnings flood” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video....
Is your portfolio ready for earnings season?
Earnings reports for the first quarter of 2021 start rolling in on April 14 with JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) both reporting before the stock market open. The big question is how much of the huge year over year earnings growth is already in the price of...
Watch my new YouTube video: “3 picks for earnings season”
I’m starting up my videos on again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The seventeenth YouTube video “3 picks for earnings season” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
Market squares positions ahead of weekend, but doesn’t quite make up for yesterday’s losses as trend remains to the downside
The Standard & Poor’s 500 closed down 0.06% today, March 19. About as exciting as watching paint dry. The NASDAQ Composite, down yesterday, reversed that drop and a little bit more by adding 0.76%. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM), down 1.84%...
Let my 15% gain ride–raising my target price for MGM Resorts in my Jubak Picks Portfolio to $48
Shares of MGM Resorts International (MGM) are up 15.16% since I added them to my Jubak Picks Portfolio on February 11, 2021. I don’t think the gains are done for this casino and hotel stock. Today I’m raising my target price to $48 a share from the current...
It’s dejavu all over again: Everything is down today
Back on February 23, I wrote a post with the headline “Everything is down today” and added that while I wasn’t buying everything on the dip I was doing some selective nibbling. Today’s market looks almost exactly the same–if a bit more so...
Watch my new YouTube Video: 5 Picks for the next 6 months
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The twelfth YouTube video “5 Picks for the Next Six Months” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
Everything is down this morning! I’m nibbling at these stocks
Yesterday tech tumbled but utilities, commodities like copper and even gold, and many “vaccine recovery” plays gained. Today almost everything is down. Which to me is a sign that this now 6-day downturn is getting closer to an end. Right now, as of 1:30...
MGM Pick #9 for my new Millennial Portfolio (for investors who have more time than money) on my JubakAM.com site; also adding to Jubak Picks on this site
I’m taking advantage of today’s drop in shares of MGM Resorts International (MGM) after yesterday’s earnings report to add these shares to my new Millennial Portfolio. The stock dropped on bad pandemic performance from the company’s Las Vegas...
Watch my new YouTube Video: Trading Rationally in an Irrational Market
I’m starting up my videos again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The ninth YouTube video “Trading Rationally in an Irrational Market” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video. You can see it...
Market sees fourth quarter GDP slowdown as good news
U.S. GDP growth slowed in the fourth quarter, gaining just 1% from the third quarter. For the full year the U.S. economy contracted by 3.5%. That makes 2020 the first time that the economy has contracted for a full year since 2009 and the Great Recession. At the...
Nevada puts new coronavirus restrictions on Las Vegas casinos–but so far MGM Resorts stock gains
Saying on Sunday that the coronavirus surge in Nevada is running at wildfire levels, Governor Steve Sislak announced new restrictions to start on Tuesday and that will run for three weeks. The new rules will require casinos, amusement and theme parks, arcades, bars,...
Market overlooks GDP headlines today–mostly
As of the close today, October 29, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up “just” 1.17%. (The NASDAQ Composite had gained 1.64% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average had picked up 0.52%) I say “just” because after yesterday’s 3.53%...
No bounce after yesterday’s selling
What I like to see–if I’m on the long side of stocks–after a drop like yesterday when the Standard & Poor’s fell 1.86% for its biggest loss in a month and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gave up 2.29%–is a bounce that speaks to...
Stocks lose much of early enthusiasm but still finish in the green
Stocks moved up modestly this morning (modest considering the damage down in the last few days) with the Standard & Poor’s 500 up 0.99% at 1 p.m. New York time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ahead 0.94%, and the NASDAQ Composite gaining 1.16%. The move...
Stocks take a while but deliver expected bounce today
This morning it looked like we might not get the bounce I expected today after the Monday morning sell off and Monday afternoon recovery. The NASDAQ, dominated by the big tech names most likely to bounce today, started Tuesday off in a mild downturn. As of 11:07 a.m....Jim’s Daily Email Alerts:
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