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U.S. GDP growth rate a tepid 0.7% in first quarter

U.S. GDP growth rate a tepid 0.7% in first quarter

The U.S. economy expanded at an annualized pace of 0.7% in the first quarter, the Commerce Department reported this morning. That’s the slowest pace in three years. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg were looking for growth of better than 1%. The Atlanta...
Jobs report not too hot, not too cold

Jobs report not too hot, not too cold

So how many lives does this Goldilocks market have, anyway? This morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the U.S. economy added just 98,000 jobs in March. That was the weakest gain since May 2015 and way under the 180,000 jobs expected by economists...

Inflation continues to climb, CPI says

Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index,  rose in January by a larger than forecast 0.6%.  That’s a pickup from the 0.3% rise in December and brings the 12-month inflation rate to 2.5%, the highest since March 2012. The core CPI, which excludes...

Goldilocks returns with January jobs report

The January jobs report showing a net gain of 227,000 jobs (versus the consensus of 170,000 among economists surveyed by Briefing.com) would have been enough to send stock and Treasury bond prices down and the dollar up because the very strong job creation in January...
Mixed fallout from higher revision to U.S. GDP growth

Mixed fallout from higher revision to U.S. GDP growth

The news that U.S. economic growth in the third quarter had been revised upward to 3.5% from an earlier 3.2% has been a mixed blessing for the financial markets. Higher growth has helped stocks resume their post-election rally. But it hasn’t helped the bond...
Will it be two or three interest rate increases in 2017?

Will it be two or three interest rate increases in 2017?

At its December 14 meeting, the Federal Reserve signaled that it was thinking about three more interest rate increases in 2017 instead of two. (The Fed raised interest rates by 25 basis points on December 14. That was the Fed’s first interest rate increase in...