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Update Potlatch (PCH)

posted on October 29, 2009 at 12:30 pm
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Not good but stabilizing.

 I think that’s the best way to describe Potlatch’s (PCH) third quarter earnings reported after the market close on October 26.

Log prices remain low but, the company says, are stabilizing. Sales of higher, better use land—timberland that’s more valuable for development than for timber production—remains slow at a total of 812 acres sold in the quarter, but the company is still selling land and that 812 acres sold is better than the 327 acres sold in the third quarter of 2008.

And the company continues to make progress on getting its books into better shape. In the quarter Potlatch sold a timber deed to a timber investment group for $49 million. The proceeds went to pay down part of the company’s credit line.

The short-term result was a quarter that beat Wall Street estimates of $1.11 a share by 4 cents a share. And where revenues climbed by 25.2% from the third quarter of 2008 to $164 million, well above the $150 million consensus.

Long term?

I don’t think this stock will give investors significant capital appreciation until the housing market turns. (Whenever that might be.) But in the meantime, I think the company is doing the right things to make sure it can keep paying my Dividend Income portfolio and investors who are following that list a yield of 7.1%.

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7 comments

  • chudles@hotmail.com on 29 October 2009

    Jim was wondering where I can find your dividend income portfolio, thought I would find on your jubakpicks home page?
    Thanks

  • themom on 29 October 2009

    i wish you would mention not only stock price but dividend.

  • gusspresso24 on 29 October 2009

    Hey Chudles, Jim reviewed the portfolio recently. You can find his most recent update here but this is just an article, not where the portfolio will be maintained:

    http://jubakpicks.com/jubak-dividend-income-portfolio/

  • waltmiller3 on 29 October 2009

    themom: Stock price was not mentioned at all. Also, dividend was mentioned in the last sentence (7.1%).

  • YX on 29 October 2009

    Jim, you indicated that the share appreciation of this company will not be good until housing improves. Does it apply to RYN too?

  • gusspresso24 on 29 October 2009

    YX: I’ll second that question.

  • Jim Jubak on 2 November 2009

    The Dividend Income portfolio is now scheduled to go live at 2 p.m. today. Keep your fingers crossed. RYN and PCH have significantly different businesses. Besides the timber, pulp and real estate of PCH, RYN also has a fiber division that sells to customes such as cigarette makers (for cigarette filters.) That unit has been doing quite well even during the recession so I’d expect RYN to appreciate before PCH.

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