http://jubakpicks.com/2009/09/14/most-of-the-time-rallies-like-this-have-been-followed-by-a-gain-over-the-next-12-months/ Sun, 12 Feb 2012 18:19:20 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 http://jubakpicks.com/2009/09/14/most-of-the-time-rallies-like-this-have-been-followed-by-a-gain-over-the-next-12-months/comment-page-1/#comment-773 ytimes Mon, 14 Sep 2009 20:24:28 +0000 http://jubakpicks.com/?p=1171#comment-773 Jim, I agree with you that the odds are on the bullish side right now, but not as good as you make it seem. The odds you state are based on incomplete data. You neglect to factor in the odds that the future might differ significantly from the historical record. If you were dealing with thousands of cases you might be as confident as you say, but you are dealing with less than a dozen. Jim,
I agree with you that the odds are on the bullish side right now, but not as good as you make it seem. The odds you state are based on incomplete data. You neglect to factor in the odds that the future might differ significantly from the historical record.
If you were dealing with thousands of cases you might be as confident as you say, but you are dealing with less than a dozen.

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